Daff's Weekly Round Up

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Formula 1

Daniel Ricciardo has done it again! The Aussie won the Belgium GP at the weekend, his 3rd win of the season, and his legion of fans again cashed in. Ricciardo started the race as a $17 chance, and on top of his previous wins at $41 and $13, anybody who has bet on him all the way through the season is now well on top. It is hard to believe, but Ricciardo is now into $21 to win the Drivers Championship behind Nico Rosberg ($1.65) and Lewis Hamilton ($2.20). It is well documented what happened between the Mercedes pair on Sunday, and it will be interesting to see what happens in Monza in a fortnight’s time. Hamilton opens at $1.65, Rosberg $2.50, and Ricciardo understandably popular at $8.00.


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V8 Supercars

Shane Van Gisbergen won 2 of the 3 races held at Eastern Creek last weekend, and in doing so landed a big plunge in race 1. Van Gisbergen was $15 in the opening market but was into $8.00 by Saturday morning, and $5.50 after qualifying. Most of those played up their winnings on race 2 where Van Gisbergen was again well in commission at $4.50, while ‘Young Gun’ Scott McLaughlin won Sunday’s race. Jamie Whincup is now $1.50 to win the title from Van Gisbergen and Craig Lowndes, both at $5.00

The endurance races now start, with the first race at Sandown in 2 week’s time. It will be raced over 500km’s, and is the main lead-up to Bathurst. This is a team event, and while a number of the combinations have changed this year, one combo that hasn’t is the Whincup/Dumbrell team in Car 1. They are the opening $3.00 favourites, and they did win at Sandown last year after finishing 3rd in 2012. Car 888 (Lowndes/S.Richards ) are on the second line of betting at $4.50, with Craig Lowndes no longer partnering Warren Luff who will be in Car 2 with Garth Tander. Lowndes and Luff won in 2012 before finishing 2nd last year. TattsBet will also open the market to win Bathurst next week.


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The winning run of Marc Marquez finally came to an end in the Czech Republic GP after winning the opening 10 races of the season. Marquez started a red hot $1.20 chance, and eventually finished 4th behind Dani Pedrosa, Jorge Lorenzo and Valentino Rossi. That race was in contrast to most we have seen this season but it did prove Marquez can be beaten. The Spaniard is $1.47 to win the British GP this week with Lorenzo the second pick at $5.00, followed by Pedrosa at $6.00 and Rossi at $9.00. This will be the 5th running of the British GP at Silverstone, and Lorenzo certainly has the form on the board there. Lorenzo has won 3 of those 4 races, his only blot being in 2011 when he failed to finish.


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Francesco Molinari is the $12 favourite to win the Italian Open on the European Tour this week, but although he is the top pick of the local hopes, punters have steered clear of Molinari. There has been solid support for another Italian, Matteo Manassero at $21, while Molinari’s brother, Edoardo, has been the best backed at $23.. There has been early interest in Stephen Gallacher ($21), Joost Luiten ($23) and Bernd Weisberger ($26), but with most of the big name players missing, the event has been quiet.

Several of the Australians were in with a winning chance in The Barclays on the US Tour last week, but the title eventually went to Hunter Mahan. Jason Day showed that another win may not be far away and he has been very well backed at $15 to win The Deutsche Bank Championship this week. Rory McIlroy is the $5.50 favourite ahead of Adam Scott ($10 and winner in 2003), then follows Jason Day and Henrik Stenson at $17. There has been money for Stenson as he is the defending champion, and McIlroy has form on the course as well having won in 2012. Of the others, the early support has been for Rickie Fowler ($23-$21), Matt Kuchar ($21) and Bubba Watson at $41. This event starts on Friday as opposed to the normal Thursday start, so will finish a day later on Tuesday morning Australian time.


Rugby Union

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Rugby Union

We weren’t quite sure how the NRC, the new Australian Rugby domestic competition would be received, but if week 1 was any guide, rugby will be the winner. The standout games was the Thursday match between Brisbane City and the Sydney Stars, and the reason behind that would be that it was telecast live on Fox Sports. Brisbane were the medium of a decent plunge, firming from $1.63 into $1.50 before beating the Stars 45-20. Of the 4 games played, only 2 favourites were successful, with the big shock being the win by Perth Spirit. The Spirit were $6.00 underdogs and beat the Canberra Vikings 28-23.

Across the ditch the Wallabies were again exposed at Eden Park by the All Blacks. While the Wallabies were a $4.00 chance to win the match, there was an avalanche of support for them with 10 points start, and those fans were in trouble very early on. South Africa struggled past Argentina in a 33-31 win, and it now seems as though the Rugby Championship title is again at the mercy of New Zealand. The All Blacks are now $1.28, South Africa at $4.25, Australia $9.00, and Argentina the 500/1 outsiders. Next week’s matches will be open by next Monday.


Rugby League

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Rugby League

TattsBet sports betting has only been in existence since 2006, but betting on sport has been available in this country for over 20 years. The upcoming match between North Queensland and Cronulla will see the highest line on an NRL match since the turn of the century, so well before Cathy Freeman won Gold in Sydney! The line did open at -28.5 in favour of the Cowboys, but it didn’t take long for that to shift to 30.5. In the first 72 hours of betting on the game, less than $100 has been placed on the Sharks with the 30.5 start, so most agree a hiding looms for the Sharks.

With North Queensland back in form with a win over Souths, the Cowboys are back into $8.00 to win the title, and very popular at that price. The other side that is hitting form at the right time, and has also been heavily supported this week is Melbourne. The Storm were $8.00 on Monday morning but are now into $7.50, and if they can grab a top 4 spot before the play-offs, they will be the side that punters will be looking to. Souths attracted another big bet of $10,000 at $3.50 last Friday before the weekend matches got under way, but are back out to $4.00 equal favourites with the Roosters.


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This round of AFL is the final round in the home and away season, and it has been the quietest betting round of the year. It is easy to see why as there are a host of short priced favourites, and most of the sides can’t really go anywhere on the ladder. There has been some talk that some key names may be ‘rested’ or some sides may blood some youth, so it seems that the moves will start to come after the sides are named tonight. There has been movement in only one game, with Carlton forming from $3.10 into $2.90 to beat Essendon, and that line coming in from 19.5 to 17.5.

Sydney ($2.65) and Hawthorn ($2.75) still head the flag betting ahead of Fremantle at $5.50, but all of the interest this week has been in the Brownlow Medal. Gary Ablett has shortened again, now into $3.50 behind Joel Selwood at $3.25, but the big mover has been Port Adelaide’s Robbie Gray. Over 50% of the Brownlow bets this week have been for Gray ($9.00-$8.00), and there have been twice as many bets placed on him this season than any other player. His opening price was 1000/1, and in amongst a handful of bets at that price is one of $25, a massive $25,000 payday if Gray can win the Medal.


Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager

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