Daff's Weekly Round Up


Harness Racing

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Harness Racing

TattsBet has early fixed odds markets on a host of harness events this week, and most of the early interest has been on the Priority Pass Pace at Menangle on Saturday night. The Gold Ace is the clear $2.40 favourite even though he could only finish last some 5 weeks ago. That was an inglorious performance but he does have a class edge on the rest of this field. Western Rockstar ($6.00) looks the likely leader from The Gold Ace, with God Send ($7.50) just parked behind them. Then it remains to be seen if the fav is back to his best!




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MotoGP

Marc Marquez won his 10th race of the season as expected last weekend at Indianapolis, and they will be on the quick back-up in the Czech Republic  this week. There weren’t too many surprises in the USA with Marquez, the $1.22 favourite defeating Jorge Lorenzo and Valentino Rossi. Marquez is at a similar quote to win again ($1.22), and we again expect plenty of interest in the ‘favourite out’ market, which is the best finish apart from Marquez. Pedrosa is $2.40 in that market ahead of Lorenzo at $2.70 and Rossi next in line at $3.25.




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Formula 1

The Belgium GP is still a little over a week away but following on from the success of Daniel Ricciardo in Hungary there is a lot more interest in next week’s race than we have seen for several races. Lewis Hamilton heads the betting at $1.63 ahead of Nico Rosberg at $2.40, but there has been big support for Ricciardo at 413, and also Valtteri Bottas at $17. The Drivers Title is interesting with both Hamilton and Rosberg at $1.90 although Rosberg holds a slender lead of 11 points. What will be intriguing to see is how the season will finish if we get to the last race and that duo are still close together as the new rules this year will see the season finale being raced for double points.




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Cricket

The current bets of 5 tests series between England and India has had everything, and with the home side seemingly back in form, they have been heavily backed to win the final test at The Oval which gets under way on Thursday. England thumped India in the 4th test by an innings and 54 runs. And although the draw is the $2.20 favourite, 90% of the money has been for England at $2.25. This will be the last test England play for nearly 9 months, so they will be eager to go out on a winning note. Betting will be updated at the end of each session.




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Golf

Rory McIlroy justified his heaving backing by winning the US PGA, but he had to work hard over the final round before winning. McIlroy spent most of the weekend as an odds on chance after being $6.00 before tee-off, but live betting on the final round saw favouritism change several times. Rory touched $5.00 when it looked as though he was dropping out of contention but he is in such rare form that he showed he can never be written off.

Nearly all of the big names are having this week off and Brandt Snedeker is the $14 favourite to win the Wyndham Championship, which will be played at Sedgefield GC in Greensboro, North Carolina. Patrick Reed is the defending champion and he is on the second line of betting at  $19 along with Hideki Matsuyama, and the well supported Webb Simpson is now at the same quote after opening at $21. Simpson is also a past winner having won in 2012. The shortest of the Australians is Aaron Baddeley at $67.

The Made In Denmark is the oddly named event on the European Tour, and as the name suggests it will be played in Denmark. This will be the first time since 2003 that a European Tour event has been played in Denmark, and similar to the US event, most of the big names are missing. Local hope Thomas Bjorn is the $12 favourite ahead of Thorbjorn Olesen at 421, and between the pair they have commanded about 85% of the early money.




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Soccer

The English Premier League kicks off this Saturday, and TattsBet will be covering several of the matches live each week. These will be notified on the website or on RadioTAB, but at least 6 matches will be covered. The opening round has several short priced favourites, and many have taken the opportunity to put the first favourite, Man Utd, in most of the weekend multis. Man Utd are at home to Swansea, and are a red hot $1.30 pop. They have also been backed to win the title, in what appears to be one of the most open in years with 5 realistic chances. Chelsea are the $3.00 favourites, but Man Utd have been $5.00 into $4.50 over the past 2 weeks. Of those in the betting, Man City ($2.85-$3.50) have been virtually friendless, amazing considering how much time they spent at the top of betting last season.




NFL Ball

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NFL

The official start of the NFL  season is only 3 weeks away, and we have seen terrific interest in the pre-season matches. Week 2 of those gets under way on Friday morning when Chicago will be at home to Jacksonville as 4 point favourites. With TattsBet going 24x7 in December last year, that gave us the opportunity to bolster the live coverage of NFL games, similar to what happened with the EPL in soccer, and that will be even bigger and better this season. As is usually the case, betting to win the Superbowl is wide open with Seattle heading the list at $6.50 just ahead of Denver and San Francisco at $7.00. The sides to attract most attention outside of that trio have been Green Bay ($15-$13), Indianapolis ($21-$19) and Pittsburgh who are now $29 after opening at $34.




Rugby Union

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Rugby Union

There is an air of confidence around the Wallabies beating New Zealand in Sydney on Saturday night. Perhaps that has come on the back of the win by the Waratahs in the Super Rugby title, but they have been $2.45 into $2.35 to beat the All Blacks as well as being $4.50 into $3.75 to win the Championship. Saturday’s match which also doubles as the first of the Bledisloe Cup points towards a win to the All Blacks who have now racked up 17 test wins in a row, and their imposing record against the Wallabies sits at 17 wins and one draw from the past 20 meetings, but the experts are talking this up as the one that the Aussies can win. The series needs a win by the Wallabies, or at least a competitive showing, I think we are all sick of seeing the domination of the All Blacks! The Wallabies have been $2.40 into $2.35 with New Zealand now out to $1.58.

The ITM Cup, the NZ domestic competition, gets under way tonight (Thursday), and TattsBet will have live betting on all of the televised matches throughout the competition.




Rugby League

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NRL

Souths are the new NRL favourites at $3.75 after taking Manly apart last week.

The Sea Eagles are now on the second line of betting at $4.00, and they are followed by the Roosters at $5.50, and then Melbourne and North Queensland at $8.00. The Cowboys are hitting form at the right time, and their legion of fans from up north are right behind them as over 60% of the betting this week has been for them which has seen their price come from $11 on Sunday night into the current quote. The Cowboys touched $51 during the Origin series, but have turned it all around and can even make the top 4 now. It is a crucial game for them this week when they take on Penrith, and while the form guide says it should be a Cowboys win (they have won their last 4 against Penrith), there is still that little doubt over their ‘away’ form. There has been a good early push for Penrith, from $2.15 into $2.00, and there was another bet of $5000 come for Penrith at that quote on Thursday morning, so that gap may even get closer come Monday night.

 



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AFL

6 weeks ago it would have been highly unlikely that any side travelling to Metricon Stadium to take on the Suns would be heavily backed, but even though there are some questions marks hovering over Port Adelaide at the moment, they have been the best backed side in the upcoming round. Port opened at $1.40 on Monday, and one of the first bets for them was $20,000 at that quote, and there has been no sign of the interest subsiding. The line of -18.5 has also been popular, and looking at past matches, The Suns have lost by an average of 43 points the 2 times they have met at Metricon.

There has been a theory floating around all week that Hawthorn may rest a few players when they travel to Perth on Saturday, and it does make sense. The Hawks look likely to finish second, and only have a six day back up after this match before playing Geelong, which will be a big one. The betting opened with Fremantle at $1.75 and Hawthorn at $2.05, but as of Thursday Fremantle were already into $1.62. The money hasn’t been big, we are just adopting a cautious approach before the sides are named.

Sydney and Hawthorn are into $2.75 equal flag favourites, with Geelong and Fremantle behind them at $6.00.

 







Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager


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