The Ultimate World Cup Final Guide

Argentina Flag

Argentina v Germany

Estádio Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Monday July 14 – 5:00 AM (AEST)

Germany Flag

Finally, after a month of sleepless nights, early mornings, heartbreak and celebration, the 2014 FIFA World Cup Final is almost upon us. What a World Cup it has been. Many people are claiming it to be the best in the tournament’s history, and it’s hard to disagree. After 63 matches in 30 days, we are down to the final two countries, who can write their names into the history books, and not for the first time. Argentina scraped through on penalties, while the Germans broke the host nation’s hearts with the most ruthless and devastating semi-final display you’re ever likely to witness. A 7-1 win over a depleted Brazil has propelled them into favouritism to lift the trophy, but there are plenty of other markets you can find value in.

Total Goals Over/Under 2.5 goals

The over/unders market has been especially popular throughout the World Cup this year. Betting on the over/unders market means you are placing a bet on how many goals will be scored in regulation time (i.e. 90 minutes). If you think there will be three or more goals, you would pick the over 2.5 total goals margin , whereas if you think it will be a low scoring final, you would pick the under 2.5 total goal margin . When you take a glimpse at the history books, it’s fascinating to see how much the game has changed over the past 84 years. Out of the first 13 World Cup finals, ten produced more than three goals in regulation time, and all 13 produced more after extra time. Since then, just one out of six World Cup finals has produced three or more goals. Germany have been the competition’s best attacking side, while Argentina have been the tournament’s toughest defence to crack. It will be interesting to see if this is a high scoring match, but you would think with so much on the line, no team will be willing to give an inch in the goals department.

Nick's Tip: Under 2.5 goals

First Goal scorer

Arguably the most exciting market, betting on the first goal scorer can be both fun and rewarding. Thomas Muller was the Golden Boot winner in South Africa, and one more goal in the final will see him claim the award for the second time in a row – a feat never achieved in the tournament’s history. He leads the way for the Germans, while it’s Lionel Messi, rated by many as the World’s best player, who is favoured to score first for the Argentinians. The first goal scorer is usually hard to pick, but if you do, you’re in for a big win.  Below are the players that top the market.



Lionel Messi

Tournament Goals: 4

Club: Barcelona




Thomas Muller

Club: Bayern Munich

Tournament Goals: 5


Sergio Aguero

Tournament Goals: 0

Club: Manchester City




Miroslav Klose

Tournament Goals: 2

Club: Lazio


Gonzalo Higuain

Tournament Goals: 1

Club: Napoli




Andre Schurrle

Tournament Goals: 3

Club: Chelsea


Nick's Tip: Gonzalo Higuain

Correct Score

Like the first goal scorer market, picking the correct score can land you some seriously big dividends. The favourites Germany to win 1-0  is the most popular pick, equal with a 1-1  draw to force the match into extra time. Argentina have ended with the score line of 1-0  in three out of their six matches, and that’s the favoured result if Argentina were to win in regulation time. Between them, there have been three 0-0 stalemates out of 12 matches this campaign, and if you think Monday morning will replicate the 2010 final in South Africa, you’re getting .

Nick's Tip: Draw 1-1

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Method of Victory

As stated earlier, Germany are expected to win in normal time , but with so many matches in the second half of the draw going into extra-time and penalties, it wouldn’t be a surprise if the final did too. Argentina needed extra-time  to see off Switzerland in the round of 16, while goalkeeper Sergio Romero was the hero in their semi-final penalty shootout win  over the Dutch. German custodian Manuel Neur is yet to face a penalty in the tournament, but if he comes up trumps in a shootout, you’ll get . Germany, like their opponents, required an extra-time victory in the round of 16, and you'll get if that occurs on Monday.

Nick's Tip: Argentina in extra-time 

To win the World Cup

Germany  are favoured to lift the trophy, but you can’t write off Argentina  by any means. This match will come down to either the sheer brilliance of the German team as a whole, or the pure class that rushes through the veins of Argentinian maestro Lionel Messi. It really would be fitting for Messi to lead his side to a World Cup triumph; it’s no less than the Barca man deserves. If that were to be the case, surely he would join, if not surpass, the Argentine immortal that is Diego Maradona (and Messi doesn't need an infamous 'hand of god' goal). But the Germans will be a formidable opponent to crack, and if they come out firing like they did against Brazil, Argentina will have one heck of a fight on their hands.

Nick's Tip: Argentina

Nick Chin - Tatts Sports Writer

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