Daff's Weekly Round Up

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Jordan Spieth tore The Australian Golf Course up last Sunday when a runaway winner of the Australian Open, and is on the quick back-up in the Hero World Challenge in Florida which gets under way tonight (Thursday). Spieth is a $10 chance in the select field of 18, where Henrik Stenson heads the market at $7.50 narrowly in front of Justin Rose ($8.00) and Bubba Watson ($8.50). This event is hosted annually by Tiger Woods and he makes a return this week, well down the betting at $15. The Hero World Challenge has had a number of name changes but this will be the 16th running, and Tiger has dominated in the past having won it 5 times. Graeme McDowell has won 2 of the last 4 (2010 and 2012) and is at $15, while last year’s winner Zach Johnson is one of the outsiders at $31.

The Nedbank Golf Challenge on the Sunshine Tour also has a select field of 30. The scenic Sun City course is the venue for the Nedbank, which used to have a field of 12 only but was increased 2 years ago. Jamie Donaldson and Louis Oosthuizen are the $10 equal favourites just ahead of Lee Westwood at $11. Westwood is a 2 time winner of the Nedbank in 2010 and 2011, with last year’s winner, Thomas Bjorn, quite popular at $23.


Rugby Union

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Rugby Union

The tour of the Northern Hemisphere by the Southern Hemisphere sides is over, and there has been a few moves in the market to win the 2015 World Cup.

Prior to last weekend’s matches New Zealand were $2.50, and a bet of $10,000 arrived last Friday at the quote. With South Africa and Australia losing last weekend, the All Blacks are in slightly to $2.40, followed by England at $4.50, South Africa are out to $6.00, and the Wallabies remain at $7.50. It is hard to know what the Wallabies will do during the World Cup, but at least they have shown flashes of brilliance this year. With a new coach, and the Super Rugby comp to come, hopefully they can put it all together. The Chiefs and the Waratahs head the Super Rugby market at $4.50, but there has been solid support for the Crusaders ($5.50) and the Reds at $11.

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It has been a very tough week for not only the extended cricket community, but also for Australia as a nation following the untimely passing of Phillip Hughes. Although the re-scheduled first test in Adelaide is a long way from the minds of most of us, we still have an obligation to get on with business, and the market on that test has been opened. Australia opened at $1.72, the draw at $3.50, and India at $5.00. Although quiet, the early business has been for the draw which is now into $3.30. Most of the player options will be held over until the weekend when it becomes clearer who is likely to be in both sides. It does appear as though M.S.Dhoni will be right to play for India, and that will be a big plus for them.

Australia continue to firm in betting to win the World Cup. Bets in the last week have included $4000 at $3.75 and $2000 at $3.50, and that is where the price currently sits. South Africa have eased from $4.25 out to $4.50, just ahead of India at $5.00. There has been some interest this week in Sri Lanka at $8.00 who are currently engaged in a ODI series against England.

Basketball & Hoop

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Cleveland have failed to consistently impress so far this NBA season, and they have been displaced as title favourites. San Antonio are the new favourites at $4.25 to make it back to back titles, with the Cavaliers out to $4.75, and very little interest at that quote. The competition does look very open and there has been good money for the Chicago Bulls at $7.50, Golden State at $10, and the LA Clippers at $13. A quick reminder that TattsBet has live coverage throughout all of the televised games into Australia, but also has an updated market at half time on ALL NBA matches.

The NBL season is now 8 rounds old, and after getting off to a flying start, Cairns have come back to the field. The Taipans are now at $7.00 to win the title, and betting has been quiet on them. The ‘money’ sides have been Perth, now clear $2.50 chances, with the only other side seriously considered by punters being the New Zealand Breakers, now into $3.25. After a pretty torrid start to the season, Melbourne United are currently $5.00, and while they have been ignored by the betting public, the signs are there that they will be a major force at the end of the season.

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V8 Supercars

It hasn’t been the best week for the V8 Supercars with the news that Ford will be pulling out at the end of the 2016 season. Not sure if that was the catalyst for several major changes due for the start of the 2017 season, but the news there is that the races will be open to turbo V4’s, V6’s, and new engines. So racing in Australia as we know is undergoing major change.

This week will see the final round for season 2014, and while Jamie Whincup has already wrapped up another title, there is genuine interest in the Sydney races thanks to the return of Marcos Ambrose. There will be 2 races on Saturday (both 37 laps), and 1 race on Sunday over 74 laps. Craig Lowndes has the best record around Homebush having won 2 races on the street circuit, and there have been 7 different winners from the 8 races held there. Whincup is $3.75 in races 1 and 2, with Lowndes and Shane Van Gisbergen on the second line of betting at $6.00. Scott McLaughlin won 2 of the 3 races held at the last meeting at Phillip Island and has been best backed apart from Whincup, while there is also a lot of support for Ambrose at $13. Ambrose ha spent the last few years forging a successful career in NASCAR racing, and while it will be a big ask for him to win first up, we all know what he is capable of.

Harness Racing

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Harness Racing

Christen Me was victorious over Beautide in the Miracle Mile at Menangle last Saturday night, and in a major coup for the Cranbourne Club, Christen Me will be going around in their Cup on Saturday night. Not surprisingly he is quite popular after drawing pole position, and has already firmed from $1.60 into $1.55, with a strong possibility that that price will disappear as well. There are a couple of queries around Christen Me, will he be able to hold the front, and also how he will back up after having a tough run in the Miracle Mile. The only other runner to attract any decent early support has been another Kiwi in Terror To Love at $4.20. terror To Love is a 3 time NZ Cup winner who will be much better suited by the 2555m of the Cranbourne Cup than  last week when he was run of his feet in the Miracle Mile.

Greyhounds Racing

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Greyhound Racing

There are several Group races on this week where TattsBet will have an early fixed odds market as an addition to the normal coverage, and the highlight of those races will be the Brisbane Cup.

Iva Vision is the best of the local hopes are has drawn ideally in box 2. Iva Vision recently won The Shootout at Sandown Park, and has been installed as the $2.50 favourite just ahead of Victorian Keybow at $2.60. Keybow is in the powerful Darren McDonald kennel, and is a multiple Group winner having won the Perth Cup this year as well as the Silver Bullet at the Meadows in early November. He ran the fastest heat time but there is plenty of pace in the middle of the field to cause some concern to those taking the short odds. One runner that is certain to have plenty of support is Kiss Me Ketut ($9.00). Kiss Me Ketut won this race last year and while not in the form that he was 12 months ago, he did show with a good second in his heat that he can still mix it with the best.

Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager

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