Daff's Weekly Round Up

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The records will show that Greg Chalmers won the Australian PGA at Royal Pines on Sunday, but to most that would have been a major shock as Chalmers was one of the outsiders at $67 before the final round got under way. One fan tipped an improved performance by Chalmers with a $5 bet at $67, but that was it! Even when there were only 3 players left Chalmers was unwanted, and once he and Adam Scott dropped Wade Ormsby off, Adam Scott spent the rest of the playoff holes at around the $1.60 mark with Chalmers still the outsider at $2.30. Again it was Adam Scott’s poor putting which proved costly, it will be interesting to see how he comes back after an extended Christmas break.

TattsBet has opened the 2015 US Masters market, and Scott is the $13 second pick behind Rory McIlroy at $5.50. There are also markets up on several players to win or not win a Major in 2015.Scott is $3.50 to win a Major, $1.28 not to, but there has been early interest in Jordan Spieth at $4.50 to ‘win’ a Major next year, and the way he finished this season it is hard to argue with that sentiment.

There is a tournament on the Asian Tour this week, the Dubai Open. This will be the inaugural running of this event, and with the timing, as well as the reduced prizemoney, it isn’t an overly strong field. Tommy Fleetwood is the $5.50 favourite (in from $6.00), with a big gap to Jbe Kruger ($17) followed by Paul Peterson and David Howell both at $19. Howell might be the one to beat, he has won in Dubai before and is now a resident, that has to be a big plus.


Basketball & Hoop

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The NZ Breakers were expected to finish mid-table this season but their form has seen them elevated to equal $2.50 favourites to win the title. They share top billing with Perth, and while they were $3.50 before last weekend, it was the 2 wins from that round that now has people taking notice. The Breakers were 3 point fav’s to beat Perth at Vector Arena last Thursday, and they did just that winning 77-66. The second leg was a trip to Melbourne on Sunday where they disposed of Melbourne 92-87, and that was probably their best performance of the year. Melbourne are back playing inconsistent basketball, and subsequently have eased out to $6.50, the same price as Cairns.

San Antonio remain the $4.50 favourites to win the NBA title, just ahead of Cleveland at $4.75, then Chicago at $7.50 and Golden State at $8.00. The Warriors have been the best backed side over the last couple of weeks. The outright markets are updated daily, and a reminder again that TattsBet has half time betting on ALL NBA games.

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There has been a lot of talk around one of our tennis exotic markets for 2015.

‘Top Australian’ for the ATP season 2015 has a bit of a mixture of old and new, and Bernard Tomic is the talking point. Nick Kyrios is the $2.25 favourite, and the obvious choice given the year he has just had and natural improvement. However, we have seen that before, and if Tomic can find his best form, and for an extended period, then the $3.75 is overs. The ever reliable Lleyton Hewett is in the twilight of his career, but at least those that have taken the $7.00 know what to expect, while Thanasi Kokkinakis and Marinko Matosevich (both $7.00) are have shown flashes of brilliance,  but like Tomic have to find some consistency.

We continue to see money for Novak Djokovic at $2.15 to win the Australian Open, and the standout multi combination on the 2 titles is Djokovic coupled up with Serena Williams. Apart from Williams, there has been more money coming for Caroline Wozniaki, now $15 after opening at $26.

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The second test is under way, and there have already been several twists in the betting. Australia were $1.57 before the first ball was bowled, with India at $5.00 and the draw at $4.50. India had attracted twice the number of bets to win the test than Australia, but the Aussies had a lot more invested on them, while the draw was friendless. As day 1 progressed, the draw continuously firmed, into $2.00 favourite at the end of the day’s play, with India at $3.10 and Australia at $4.00. With injuries to some of the Australian bowlers, lingering storms, and India’s batsman running into form, it will be interesting to watch the live betting over the coming days. It is worth pointing out that on the last day of the First Test in Adelaide, all 3 options (Australia, India, Draw) were favourites at some stage during the 5th day, and Australia were $17 at the start of the last session when needing 8 wickets to win. It again proved that the obvious doesn’t always happen in test cricket.

The Big Bash season gets under way tonight in Adelaide, and we expect the popularity with this competition to grow just as it did last year. T/20 cricket lends itself to massive swings in the game, and the same applies to the betting, and there has been a distinct trend developing by those who bet regularly on T/20. Many now back the outsider before the matches start, and then trade their way out of the game if the outsider gets into favouritism, which happens a lot. In the first game tonight we do have a lengthy priced underdog in the home side, the Adelaide Strikers at $2.65, with Melbourne Stars at $1.48, and that $1.48 quote is about as short as you can get in the shortened form of the game. Given it is also the first for the season, the Strikers do look to be value. TattsBet has several exotic markets open for the series, including both player and team performances. One of the more interesting ones is which ground will provide the highest team score, with the GABBA the $4.50 favourite after opening at $5.00. Don’t forget there will be live betting with TattsBet on all matches, with several bet types open throughout each match as well.

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Horse Racing

It was hard not to be impressed by the win of Wicked Intent at Doomben last Saturday, and the unbeaten youngster has been all of the rage this week with TattsBet punters to win the 2yo Magic Millions. Prior to Saturday’s win, Wicked Intent was $6.00 for the Millions, but was wound in to $4.00 when betting re-opened. That didn’t last long, and a constant stream of bets has forced the price down to $3.50, and that price might also disappear dependant on what wins today’s (Thursday) Magic Millions Classic at Wyong. There are a lot of question marks hovering over many of the main hopes in the Gold Coast Millions, and Wicked Intent has looked bullet proof to date, so all eyes will be on his next run in the B.J.McLachlan, with the only lingering doubt being how he will handle the 1200 metres.

The market for the 3yo Magic Millions is also open and Hijack Hussey is the $4.20 favourite there after a luckless run at Doomben last week.

Harness Racing

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Harness Racing

The market for the 2015 Inter Dominion is open, and Beautide is $3.80 to make it back to back Inters. Next year will be a bit different as there will be 2 Inter Doms, the first in March with the final at Menangle, and then another in December in Perth where that series will revert to the old format before moving to Menangle. Guaranteed and Christen Me were involved in the scratching saga at the Ballarat Cup last Saturday, and are next in the market behind Beautide at $5.50 and $6.50 respectively, with Terror To Love, beaten at Ballarat when $1.05, next in line at $7.00.

Greyhounds Racing

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Greyhound Racing

There are 2 Group 1 races to come for 2014, the Sale Cup which will be run Boxing night, and the Hobart 1000 which will be run tonight (Thursday).

TattsBet fixed odds will have be covering the Sale Cup heats this Sunday, and there will also be early betting up on the heats of the Silver Chief at the Meadows on Saturday night. Before we get to those races we do have the Hobart 1000, and the one to beat is Melbourne Cup winner Dyna Villa, now $2.50 after opening at $2.70. Dyna Villa has drawn well in box 2, and with noted risky beginner Big Ticket ($3.50) drawn in box 1, Dyna Villa should find the rails early. Above All ($5.50) was an impressive heat winner after bombing the start, but cannot afford to do the same again having drawn in the middle of the field. Three Tasmanian greyhounds have made it into the final with the best of those appearing to be Hellyeah Bolt ($13) who showed a welcome return to form in his heat win over Buckle Up Wes.

Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager

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