Daff's Weekly Round Up


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Golf

The Australian PGA got under way this morning (Thursday) at Royal Pines on the Gold Coast, and Adam Scott was a well backed $2.75 favourite to make it back to back Australian PGA titles. Punters have been a little apprehensive backing Scott at his last few starts but they expect him to turn it all around back in his home state this week. There was a lot of money around on this event, and some have steered away from Scott with Marc Leishman ($15), John Senden ($21), Steve Bowditch ($29-$26), Greg Chalmers ($29) and Rod Pampling ($41-$34) all well backed to win. All of those players have either had good years or are running into form, so a win by any would not surprise.

The Franklin Templeton Shootout is a team event, and is the last PGA Tour event before the Christmas break. The format isn’t contusive to big betting, but Harris English and Matt Kuchar are $4.25 to defend the title they won last year, and that is where the money is going.

The European and Sunshine Tours have a co-sanctioned event with the Alfred Dunhill Championship, and if ever a player looked a good thing on prior form it is Charl Shwartzel, the $7.00 favourite. Schwartzel has won this event the last two years, and finished 2nd in 2006 and 2009, and tied for 2nd in 2010. Oddly enough there hasn’t been the heavy support that we would have expected, with money for Danny Willett at $9.00, George Coetzee at $21, and a host of players around the $34 mark including Richard Sterne at $29. Willett did win at Sun City last week so is clearly in form.

 



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Soccer

With the Western Sydney Wanderers away in Morocco there are only four A League matches on this week, and all four home sides are odds on. The shortest of those is Perth Glory who are $1.40 to beat Newcastle, and from what we have seen of the Jets recently, that should be an easy victory for the Glory. Punters are still not convinced on the form of Perth as they remain at $5.00 to win the title, with Melbourne Victory continuing to firm, now into $3.50.

The FFA Cup Final will be played next Tuesday night, and although quiet to date, nearly all of the business has been for Adelaide at $1.80. There has been some support for Perth at $4.00, with the draw unwanted at $3.60. It should be a cracking final between 2 of the form sides of the A League, and they occupy the 2 positions behind Melbourne Victory in the betting to win that title.

TattsBet has also opened a market on the Top Goalscorer for the upcoming Asian Cup. Socceroo striker Tim Cahill is the $8.00 favourite on the back of scoring 2 goals in the World Cup, given he is the main avenue to goal for the Socceroos, he is the one to beat.




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Tennis

January will see all of the world’s best tennis players converge on Australia, and we are beginning to see really good activity on the markets to win the Aussie Open as well as a couple of the lead-up tournaments.

Roger Federer opened at $2.20 to win the Brisbane International, and the early trend has been heavily in favour of Federer, and that $2.20 will probably disappear. Kei Nishikori and Milos Raonic are next in the market at $6.50 and $8.50 respectively but both have been shunned, while there has been some interest, albeit small, in Marin Cilic ($10) and Juan Martin Del-Potro at $12. Novak Djokovic has attracted around 80% of the early money on the Australian Open, firming from $2.60 into $2.15, with Federer popular at $6.00 and money over the past week for Cilic at $26.

The Women’s Brisbane International betting has been quiet, with Maria Sharapova holding her place in the market at $2.50 ahead of Victoria Azarenka at $5.00, but several players have been backed to win the Australian Open. Serena Williams is $2.60 and has been coupled up in multis with Djokovic, but there has been early moves for Simona Halep ($10-$8.00), Petra Kvitova ($15-$12) and Caroline Wozniacki ($26-$15).




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Yachting

Boxing Day in Australia is famous for the first day of the cricket test in Melbourne, and also the start of the Sydney to Hobart yacht race.

TattsBet opened the Sydney to Hobart race this week, and the early signs are there that this will be one of the biggest ever as far as betting goes. Many have seen Wild Oats as a ‘meal ticket’ down through the years, and that is hard to argue with as Wild Oats has won 7 of the last 9 races. There has been early money for Wild Oats at $1.60, particularly after it won the Big Boat Challenge around Sydney Harbour earlier this week, but it is 2nd pick, Comanche, that has been the target of a pretty solid push. After opening at $3.25, Comanche is already into $2.75, and while the Super Maxi is yet to race on the open waters, expectations are high. The yacht is owned by billionaire Jim Clarke, and as many would know he is married to Aussie model Kristy Hinze. It was shipped over to Australia from the USA a few weeks ago, and will be skippered by one of the best in the business, Ken read. While those 2 yachts appear to dominate the market there has also been money for Perpetual Loyal at $6.00, Ragamuffin 100 at $6.50, and Rio 100 at $21. As Boxing Day draws closer there will be a lot more markets available.




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AFL

The 2015 Brownlow Medal market is open, and there aren’t too many shocks with the order. Gary Ablett is the opening $6.00 favourite ahead of Nathan Fyfe at $7.00, and the Paddy Dangerfield, Tom Rockliff  and Joel Selwood all at $13. The injuries to Ablett and Fyfe have been well documented, so hopefully the operations both had to repair damage have been successful. The betting only opened on Wednesday so there hasn’t been an avalanche of business yet, but we will keep you posted on any major moves in the coming weeks.




Harness Racing

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Harness Racing

Kiwi Terror To Love outstayed Christen Me to win last Saturday night’s Cranbourne Cup, and that race will go down in history as one of the great epic battles. Unfortunately Christen Me and Beautide will not be going around in this week’s Ballarat Cup, and although Terror To Love has been installed by TattsBet as the $2.40 favourite, the early money has been for Guaranteed ($2.50) to beat him. Guaranteed was a fast finishing 3rd in the Miracle Mile at his last start, has a better draw than Terror To Love this week, and will now have the services of champion reinsman Gavin Lang. Philadelphia Man ($4.00) has returned from a 2 year layoff through injury with 2 devastating wins, and is expected to get the early lead. Outside of the 3 ‘big guns’, Restrepo ($11) has drawn well in barrier 1, and should get a good run on the pegs. He is more than capable of providing an upset.




Greyhounds Racing

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Greyhound Racing

Eight heats of the time honoured Hobart 1000 will be held tonight (Thursday), and there is a mixture several big name performers from the mainland as well as Tasmania’s best. Recent Melbourne Cup winner Dyna Villa will be in action in race 4, the 2nd heat, and will go around as a warm favourite. Dyna Villa has good Victorian form on tracks of a similar shape to Hobart (horseshoe), and although drawn poorly in box 4, does have the advantage of a vacant box on his outside.

Buckle Up Wes would have to be the best hope of the locals, and he is $1.35 to win race 7 after coming up with the rails draw. Buckle Up Wes has raced successfully against the bets in the land this year, winning the Australian Cup earlier in the year and also recently winning the Topgun at the Meadows.

All 8 heats of the Hobart 1000 have been open for a couple of days, and there are also early markets up on the Dapto Puppy Classic (Dapto) and the Sir John Dillon Memorial (Sandown) on Thursday, and also the John Stollery at Wentworth Park on Saturday night.








Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager


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