Daff's Weekly Round Up


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AFL

TattsBet has opened up most of the AFL futures apart from the ‘most losses’ market, and that is closed for obvious reasons. There has been a bit more activity on the flag market other than what was reported last week with another bet of $2000 coming for Sydney at $5.00, and also another $1000 wager for Hawthorn at $4.00. The first large bet on the final 8 market was for the Gold Coast, a $2000 bet at $2.50, and there has been a constant stream of smaller bets, with the price now at $2.25. The Suns were on track for a finals berth this year until the injury to Gary Ablett, so it makes sense that people rate them highly in 2015.

 



Rugby League

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Rugby League

Several futures markets have also been opened on the NRL for next season, and Penrith were the first side to be backed with a significant amount to make the final 8. A bet of $8000 was taken an $1.50, and subsequent to that there has been interest at $1.45, mainly through multis. Canberra are the $3.75 favourites to finish on the bottom of the ladder, followed by the Dragons at $5.00 and the Tigers at $5.50. Money continues to come for Brisbane to win the comp at $7.00 with nearly 80% of investments for the past week going on the Broncos. The other side that is creeping into contention is Cronulla. The Sharks were $51 when the market first went up but that price has halved to $26 with solid backing after several key signings.




Rugby Union

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Rugby Union

The Wallabies play the last match in their European tour at Twickenham on Saturday night, and the betting suggests that Aussie rugby fans think it will result in another loss. There has been very little interest in Australia at $2.30, but there has been any amount of money for England to win at $1.60, and also to beat the 3 point line. The Wallabies were probably a shade unlucky top go down to Ireland by 3 points, but with this being the last match of the year, the worry will be whether or not the intensity will be there.

Wales were well beaten by New Zealand last week, and will be missing winger George North this week, but there has been an early push for them to beat South Africa at Millennium Stadium. South Africa put Italy away 22-6 last week and that followed on from a 3 point win over England, but Wales have been $3.10 into $3.00, and the line is into 6.5 after opening at 7.5.




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Golf

Rory McIlroy is back to defend his Australian Open, but punters have been cautious in taking the $3.50 for Rory after he had to come from Dubai earlier in the week. It doesn’t seem to worry sportsmen around the world, and with the year that he has had, he deserves to be that short, if not shorter. Adam Scott was beaten on the very last hole in the Open last year by McIlroy, and with a run under his belt in the Masters last week, the popular Aussie has been $5.00 into $4.00. John Senden ($26), Brendon De Jonge ($31), Geoff Ogilvy ($31) and Steve Bowditch ($41) have all been in good form recently and have been well backed, but American Jordan Spieth has been neglected at $13 even though he is the third pick in the market. TattsBet will bet live throughout the final round on Sunday.




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Tennis

January is a big month for tennis on this side of the world, and the market is out for the Hopman Cup, and naturally there is plenty of interest in the Australian Open markets.

Serena Williams and Jack Sock will be representing the USA in the Hopman Cup and they have been installed as the $3.75 favourites ahead of Poland at $5.00 and France at $6.00. Casey Dellacqua and Nick Kyrios will be representing Australia and have opened at $8.00.

Novak Djokovic has been $2.60 into $2.20 to win the Australian Open over the past couple of weeks as some of his main dangers continue to struggle. The status of Rafael Nadal is still unknown after recent back and appendix surgeries, and he is a drifter from $4.50 out to $5.50. Roger Federer is solid at $6.00, Andy Murray at $7.50 and defending champ Stan Wawrinka is $12. Kyrios has been $67 into $34 since the market first opened, but it will be a big ask to expect the youngster to go all of the way.

As far as the women is concerned, Serena Williams is clear favourite at $2.60, followed by Maria Sharapova ($7.00) and Simona Halep and Victoria Azarenka both at $8.00, but there has been a little push for Caroline Wozniacki who is now $17 after opening at $26.




Harness Racing

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Miracle Mile

The Miracle Mile will be run at Menangle on Saturday on Saturday night, and TattsBet had the full support card open for betting early in the week. The Miracle Mile is clearly the big event, and punters see it as a 2 horse race, last year’s winner Beautide and Kiwi champ Christen Me. Beautide opened at $1.80, got out to $1.85 on Tuesday, but that was quickly snapped up and is now back into $1.80. Christen Me attracted a bet of $2000 as soon as the market opened at $5.00, and has continuously shortened into $4.00. For A Reason is on the 3rd line of betting at $7.00, and has his share of supporters after a terrific run recently in the NZ Cup. Ironically the first 3 in the betting were the first 3 over the line in last year’s MM so punters are tipping history will repeat itself!








Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager


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