Daff's Weekly Round Up

Rugby League

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Rugby League

The early money suggested that most thought that a new look Australian side were vulnerable against New Zealand last Saturday night, and that is exactly how it panned out. The Kiwis attracted a lot of support (from $4.00 into $3.25), and while there was money for Australia as they eased out in the betting, it wasn’t anything like what would be expected for such a short price. Now the Kangaroos are under pressure to make the final, and if the matches this week go as expected, then a terrific final looms. Australia were $1.45 to win the series before that loss, and are now equal $2.10 favourites with New Zealand, with England at $7.00.

New Zealand open at $1.09 to beat Samoa in NZ this week, with Samoa at $7.50 and the line set at 18.5. England travel to Melbourne to take on Australia with the Kangaroos at $1.33, England at $3.35, and the line at 9.5. Although quiet, there has been early support for the English with the start.

Rugby Union

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Rugby Union

The Wallabies have left our shores for their European tour, and while their first big match isn’t until next week against England, they will be playing the Barbarians on Saturday night. TattsBet will have betting available on all of the tour and test matches due to be played throughout November, and there are plenty of them! New Zealand play the USA this week, and will play England the week after the Poms play Australia.

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Kalgoorlie will host the WA PGA Championship this week and a handy field will assemble for tee-off on Thursday.

James Nitties and Rhein Gibson are the $12 favourites, but there has been good early support for 2013 winner Jack Wilson at $21, and also Nathan Green ($21) and Steven  Jones ($26).

The European and US PGA Tours are both in Asia this week, so they will have early starts on Thursday as well. The BMW Masters is the European Tour event and it will be played at the Lake Malaren GC in Shanghai. Justin Rose opened as the $10 favourite but was backed into $9.00, while second elect Victor Dubuisson was also popular at $15. Most players in the market have been backed but  there have been a couple of standouts including Nicolas Colsaerts ($29), Thomas Bjorn ($34) and Ian Poulter at $34 also. Gonzalo Fernandez Castano is the defending champ and is $67.

The US PGA Tour event is the CIMB Classic, a co-sanctioned event with the Asian Tour. This will be played in Kuala Lumpur and Sergio Garcia has been a mover from $11 into $9.00. Hideki Matsuyama and Charl Schwartzel share the e=second line at $15, but a lot of players at longer odds have also met with solid support. One of those is Ryan Moore ($29) who did win here last year, and also Patrick Reed  ($26) and Paul Casey ($31). There are 7 Australians in the field and John Senden is the shortest of those at $34 just ahead of Marc Leishman at $41.

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The WA Warriors won the Matador Cup final last Sunday, and are the $4.25 favourites to add the Sheffield Shield to their cabinet as well.

The first round of Shield matches will get under way on Friday, and the Warriors are $1.70 to take most points against Tasmania, with that match played in WA. Betting on Shield matches has definitely suffered since the calendar was altered, and also with most of the bigger names continuously on national duty.

The Aussies will be trying to restore some pride when they play Pakistan in the 2nd test which gets under way in Abu Dhabi on Thursday. Many are wondering what Pakistan have to do to be favourites after a dominant effort in the 1st test, but they just aren’t a side that the betting public warm to, their enigmatic form is always a worry. Australia have been $2.30 into $2.20 to win the 2nd test, there has been plenty of interest  (all small) in Pakistan who have firmed from $4.00 into $3.70, while the draw is ‘friendless’ at $2.90. The ‘draw’ option spent nearly 2 days as favourite during the 1st test, but unless weather intervenes, it is rare that test matches end in draws these days.

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While the cricketers will be toiling away in the heat in Abu Dhabi, the Superbikes will be doing the same thing in Qatar on Sunday. While the motoGP bikes have raced in Losail before this will be the first time that the Supebikes have raced there, and they will be under lights. This meeting is also the last of the season, so it is possible there will be some upsets. Sylvain Guintoli and Marco Melandri won the two races held at Magny Cours just over a month ago, and that pair, along with Tom Sykes, are expected to be the ones to beat again.

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Formula 1

The USA Formula 1 Grand Prix is always popular, and although there has been plenty of controversy whenever the F1’s race in the USA, it is all plain sailing this week. Lewis Hamilton has racked up 4 wins in a row now and is the hot $1.55 favourite ahead of Nico Rosberg at $3.00, followed by Valtteri Bottas ($11) and Daniel Ricciardo ($15). This will be the third time that the Circuit of the Americas (Austin, Texas) will be used, and the previous winners were Hamilton in 2012 and Sebastian Vettel last year.

Basketball & Hoop 

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As the Cairns Taipans continue on with their unbeaten run to the start of the season, they are now into $3.75 to win the title. The Taipans were one of the outsiders at $13 before the season got under way, but are now a solid second choice behind Perth who are at $2.50.

Several of the teams will be playing double headers this weekend but Cairns isn’t one of them. They will be at home and hosting the Kings on Saturday night, with Cairns opening at $1.13 or -13.5 points on the line, and the Kings are $6.00 outsiders. It was always going to be tough for Sydney heading north, but they will also be without Josh Childress after his brain explosion last week.

The NBA season is under way, and it is worth pointing out that as well as covering the televised games of NBA with ‘live’ betting, TattsBet will now also have an updated market at half-time on ALL NBA games.

Harness Racing

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Harness Racing

For A Reason was an impressive winner of the QPC at Albion Park last Saturday night, and we have cut his price to win the NZ Trotting Cup which will be held on November 11. Terror To Love remains the $2.60 favourite, just ahead of Christen Me at $2.80, but For A Reason is now $7.50 after being $10 prior to that win.

Nick Robin was one of the most popular presenters that Sky Channel ever had, and it is fitting that one of the highlights of the harness calendar each year is now the Nick Robin Memorial, which will be run Saturday night at Menangle. Beautide is returning after having a month off, and on the back of a recent fast trial, the Tasmanian champ has been installed as a hot $1.45 favourite to resume with a win. Suave Stuey Lombo will not be a runner in this race, so it does look as though the race is at the mercy of Beautide.

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Horse Racing

Hampton Court has always been well up in Victorian Derby betting since the markets were first issued, and he goes into Saturday’s Derby as the one that the public want to be on. Hampton Court opened at $5.50, but has been around the $2.80 mark since another impressive win in Sydney. This year’s Derby hasn’t created the headlines as many of these races have in the past, but the fact that he has high profile owners as well as being trained by Gai Waterhouse has ensured that he has been in the news, and that has created plenty of interest. Preferment ($6.00) has been easy in the betting (out from $4.80) since the barrier draw, but there has been a really good push for Bondeiger ($13-$10) who many expect to be suited by the longer trip.

There have been some interesting trends emerging in next Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup. Admire Rakti has been the deserved favourite since his win in the Caulfield Cup, but punters are shying away from the Japanese entrant. Admire Rakti is currently trading at $4.60, but it does look as though he will get to a better quote. Several runners have been backed this week but the most popular of those excluding all of the ‘roughies’ have been Lucia Valentina ($8.50-$7.50), Fawkner ($13-$10), Red Cadeaux (solid at $17) and Signoff, $21 now after starting the week at $41. Lucia Valentina is the one that may shorten further as there was another $2500 bet on her on Wednesday at $7.50, while Fawkner has attracted the most bets of any runner this week. Apart from Fawkner’s valiant second in the Cox Plate, there is little doubt that his popularity is also due to the fact that he is a ‘Team Williams’ runner. Veteran Green Moon is another that falls into that category and he is one of our worst results at $81 along with Precedence, now also into $81. Most would agree that Precedence’s best days may well be behind him but any runner trained by the maestro Bart Cummings is always going to be a liability with bookmakers.

Written by

Gerard Daffy, Media Manager

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