Gerard Daffy's TattsBet News - January 23

TENNIS

We are at the semi-final stage of the Australian Open, with Dominika Cibulkova and Li Na moving through to create an unlikely match-up in the decider. There have been upsets galore in both the women’s and men’s matches, with the biggest of those being the loss by Serena Williams to Ana Ivanovic. There have been plenty of five-figure bets come through on the Australian Open, and one of those was placed on Serena, $40,000 at $1.03.

Roger Federer has always been one of the most popular sportsmen in the world, and he is always backed with TattsBet when he plays. His followers have had a bonus this year as he is now into $3.00 after toughing $17 after losing to Lleyton Hewitt in Brisbane. Federer has been backed to win over $250,000 in title betting with TattsBet and has also been a big mover ($2.35-$2.25) in the first few hours of betting on his semi against Rafael Nadal, who is $1.60. The ratio of bets is running 4-1 in favour of Federer, and with Nadal having an obvious problem with blisters, maybe Federer will make his way through to the final again.

Below are the best prices (in brackets) that were available with TattsBet for each of the players leading into the semis, as well as prices before the semi- finals.

Womens (UPDATED AFTER SEMI FINALS)
Li Na ($13) now $1.35
Dominika Cibulkova ($301) now $3.10


Mens
Rafael Nadal ($4.25) now $2.00
Roger Federer ($17) now $3.00
Stan Wawrinka ($41) now $6.00
Tomas Berdych ($67) now $10.00


CRICKET

Australia haS won the ODI series against England, but with New Zealand beating India on Wednesday of this week, the Aussies moved back to the top of the ODI rankings again. That fact, plus the lure of another whitewash against England, should ensure that they will be all out to win the final two matches. Australia will be resting several players in Perth - although George Bailey looks to have recovered from a groin injury - but it is still a side that has plenty of class. However punters have been a little apprehensive to take the short odds and the Aussies has eased from $1.40 out to $1.45 while England is into $2.77 after opening at $2.90. Steve Smith had a fantastic Ashes series and is back in favour with punters as he has been the standout at $5.50 to top score in the Aussie innings, while Alistair Cook is again the only batsman wanted for England at $4.50. Cook has been copping it from all angles recently but he seems to have a lot of fans out there in the betting world.

The final two Big Bash matches on Saturday and Sunday will have a huge bearing on where the playoff for 2nd and 3rd will be played. On form and pricing the Sydney Sixers look to have the advantage over Perth Scorchers, but as favourites have only been able to win just over 50% of the Big Bash matches this season, who knows what will happen. The Sixers are $1.57 to beat cross town rivals the Thunder ($2.40), and it is interesting to note that there has been little or no interest in the Thunder in this match after it broke its long losing sequence last week. Perth will travel to Melbourne to take on the Stars on Australia Day, and will be the outsiders.


NFL

Denver and Seattle have dominated the market to win the Super Bowl for several months, so it is no surprise to see both have made their way through to the final on Monday week.

Seattle has been a slight favourite over Denver for nearly all of that time, but there has been an early move on the final, and it all happened within hours of the prices going up. TattsBet opened both sides at $1.90, but that price for Denver was quickly snapped up, and it is currently trading at $1.74 with Seattle at $2.10. The line is currently -2.0 in favour of Denver, and again the money is for the Broncos. There are differing views on what will happen in this match as we have Denver, the best offensive side in the competition up against the Seahawks who top of the table defensively. The game total has been set at 47.5, with early money for the ‘unders’, which seems to suggest we may see a swing for Seattle to win the Super Bowl at some stage. Seattle was one of the best backed sides before the season started, $17 into $11, while Denver was always near the head of the market, $8.00 before game 1.

TattsBet will have a host of exotic bet types opening in the coming days, and there will also be a TattsBet Twist available on game day.


BASKETBALL

After a long winning streak, the Melbourne Tigers have hit the skids over the past two weeks, and are in danger of dropping back to the chasing pack now they’re in third place. It doesn’t get any easier for the Tigers on Friday night when they head west to take on the a Wildcats team dripping with confidence, and unbeaten at home. Melbourne has the cattle to lock horns with any team in the league, but their hopes of scoring a shock win across the Nullabor took a dive with athletic swingman Lucas Walker ruled out for the next few weeks with an Achilles injury. He was the visitors’ best hope of stopping the league’s best player, ‘Cats import James Ennis, but without him it’s hard to see the Tigers matching Perth’s defensive intensity. The opening prices with TattsBet are reflective of that as Perth opened at $1.17 with the Tigers at $5.05, and the line has been set at 9.5. There was an immediate reaction with a bet of $3000 arriving for Perth at $1.17, a fairly substantial wager so early in the week. The Wildcats have won the last seven between the sides and a double-digit margin against the short-handed Tigers is certainly not out of the question.

The Miami Heat remain the $2.75 favourite to win the NBA but there has been movement behind the reigning champion in the market. Indiana is now clear second elect at $4.50, while Portland has had its odds halved in the last few weeks from $26 into $13. The Trail Blazers were one of the outsiders at $126 before the season started, and were $67 to win the Western Conference! That price is well and truly gone now as they are $7.00.


THE GAMES

The Australian side for the upcoming Winter Games has been announced, and 56 Australians will be heading to Russia. Since Steven Bradbury won that memorable gold medal in Salt Lake City back in 2002, Australians have ‘warmed’ to the winter games, and TattsBet will be betting on all of the gold medal events. Norway is the $3.00 favourite to top the gold medal tally, and if the you look through the current list of world champions in the Olympic disciplines, then Norway may get to 15 gold medals. Canada topped the table with 14 gold in 2010, but those games were held in Vancouver, and the Maple Leaf nation is $6.00 this time around. Whilst Norway has been the best backed nation to date, there have been several bets (including one of $1000) for the USA at $3.75. The USA tied for 3rd with Norway on 9 gold medals in Vancouver, and they were one gold behind Germany, which is also well in commission at $4.75 this year. There are ice hockey markets already open, with several more expected to open in the coming week.


BIG BETS

$40,000 at $1.03 Serena Williams to beat Ana Ivanovic (LOST)
$78,000 at $1.07 Rafael Nadal to beat Igor Dimitrov (WON)