Gerard Daffy's TattsBet News - March 6

Golf

Tiger Woods pulled out of last week’s Honda Classic citing a back injury, but there has been plenty of money for Tiger to win this week’s WGC Cadillac Championship for a staggering 8th time. Woods is the defending champion, and is on the 3rd line of betting at $13, but is clearly the standout with punters of those at the head of the betting market. Rory McIlroy is the $8.00 favourite with TattsBet ahead of Adam Scott ($12), then Tiger, followed by Dustin Johnson ($15) and Sergio Garcia ($18). Outside of those players, there has been support for Phil Mickelson ($26), Charl Schwartzel ($34) and Jim Walker ($34).

The Puerto Rico Open is also on this week and this PGA Tour event is for those outside of the top 50, who mostly get a start in the Cadillac Championship. Chris Stroud is the $19 favourite in a wide open market ahead of Australian Matt Jones ($21) and George McNeill ($23), who won this event in 2012. Scott Brown is the defending champion and is a $41 chance with TattsBet.

Formula 1

Betting is open for the Australian Grand Prix, the first race on the F1 calendar. There have been plenty of testing sessions leading into the race in Melbourne, and while most manufacturers would be happy with what they have seen, the Red Bulls have clearly been struggling. Sebastian Vettel has himself said that they are too far off the pace, and for that reason Vettel is $7.00 to win next week, the longest price he has opened in the last 5 years. Race favourite is Lewis Hamilton at $2.75 ahead of Nico Rosberg at $5.00, then Vettel and Fernando Alonso on $7.00, with Jenson Button next in line at $9.00. Button has an imposing record in the Australian GP having won it 3 of the last 5 years while last year’s winner Kimi Raikkonen is at $13 to go back to back.

V8 Supercars

There will be four V8 Supercar races conducted in Melbourne over the F1 weekend - two on Friday, one on Saturday and the fourth on Sunday. While these races are not part of the Championship, they are sure to be well received by the betting public due to the huge coverage. Race 1 is open and Jamie Whincup is the $3.60 favourite ahead of Craig Lowndes ($4.25), Shane Van Gisbergen ($6.50), and a host of drivers on $11, including Volvo’s Scott McLaughlin, who was impressive when grabbing a podium finish in one of the races last week in Adelaide.

Harness Racing

Beautide was the $9.00 opening favourite when TattsBet released their first Interdominion market a few months ago, and the Tasmanian champ justified that move by completely dominating last Sunday’s final. Beautide was $4.20 on the day and put up one of the best performances of the modern era to win running away. Terror To Love was sensationally backed in the final, $15 after the barrier draw but got into $$7.50 at race time, and while he was beaten in the final, punters have buttered up on the Kiwi in tomorrow’s (Friday) Auckland Pacing Cup. Terror To Love has always had a better record in NZ than when he crosses the Tasman, but he will need to be at his very best as his 2 main dangers, Saveapatrol ($4.60) and Adore Me ($4.00) have drawn well in barriers 1 and 2.

Greyhounds

It was a big weekend for Tasmania, as not only did Beautide win the Interdominion, but Buckle Up Wes was victorious in the Australian Cup at the Meadows. Buckle Up Wes started at $7.50 fixed odds with TattsBet, and he had plenty of support at that quote. Apart from the normal greyhound meetings covered by TattsBet with fixed odds, this weekend we will also be betting on the four heats of the Richmond Derby on Saturday night, the Horsham Cup final on Saturday night, and the Mount Gambier Cup on Sunday afternoon.

Tennis

Aside from the Majors held each year, the most popular tournament is always Indian Wells, and that gets under way today (Wed). Novak Djokovic is the $2.75 to win the men's title from Rafael Nadal ($3.00) and Andy Murray ($7.50), while Victoria Azarenka is the $3.50 favourite to win the women's title ahead of Li Na at $5.50 and Maria Sharapova at $7.50. This event is famous for the annual boycott by the Willams sisters, and they will again be missing. Betting will be available on all matches with several exotics available on each match.

Cricket

Australia have defeated South Africa in their best of 3 test series, and there will now be three T/20 games between the 2 nations before the World Cup. The first of those matches will be on Sunday night, and TattsBet will be betting live throughout each match. The West Indies and England also have three T/20 matches to come, following an enthralling ODI series. Australia are now the outright $5.00 favourites to win the upcoming World Cup, just ahead of India at $5.50, and they are followed by South Africa and Sri Lanka at $6.50. There can always be upsets in cricket, particularly in the shortened forms of the game, but one TattsBet customer is predicting an upset of gigantic proportions in the World Cup, placing $1 on each of Nepal, the UAE and Hong Kong, all at $5001.

AFL

The new NAB Challenge format of 18 matches in 18 days was well received by the betting public this year. Although it was obvious that a lot of teams were still trying out several youngsters, many of those sides were gambled against, but still came away as winners. Overall there were only 10 favourites able to win from the 18 matches (55%), and of those, only six (33%) were able to cover the line.

Although they were only trial games, one thing was obvious, and that was that Hawthorn will again be the team to beat this year. The Hawks are now into clear favourites at $4.50 ahead of Sydney and Fremantle at $5.25, with some injury concerns to Geelong forcing their price from $7.00 out to $8.00. West Coast were impressive in their two outings and are now $21 after opening at $26, while there is continued support for Adelaide at $23.

At the other end of the scale, St Kilda appear to be in for an ordinary season and are now $2.50 to finish at the bottom of the table. The Saints were $4.50 in the opening market, and although it is often dangerous reading too much into pre-season matches, they have some work to do. There has been a major shift in the betting for their first-up match against Melbourne, with the Demons now $1.57 after opening at $2.20 prior to Christmas. The biggest opening round bet belongs to Melbourne, and that is a wager of $8500 at $1.67, while there is also a bet of $5000 for the West Coast at $1.33 to beat the Western Bulldogs.

Rugby Union

There was a mixed bag of results in last week’s Super Rugby round with 5 of the 7 favourites winning, but only 3 of those covered the allocated line. The Waratahs touched-up the Reds winning 32-5, and the Queenslanders return home this week as $1.25 pops to beat the Cheetahs. The Cheetahs have been to Brisbane 3 times for 3 losses, by 10,18 and 33 points, but there has been a little early push for them with 9.5 points start, which is into $1.85 after opening at $1.90.

In New Zealand, the Crusaders are yet to even get a bonus point from their two matches so far, but they are $1.19 to rectify that this week against the Stormers. The Crusaders will be without Richie McCaw for 8 weeks with a broken thumb, but that news hasn’t proven much of a deterrent as the Crusaders are the side anchored in most of the rugby multis for the weekend. This will be the first match on tour for the Stormers, and they have never won in Christchurch from 7 previous attempts.

Probably the most interesting matches of the round will be in Perth on Saturday night. The Western Force have always been competitive in most of their home matches against all comers, but the Rebels have proven to be their ‘bogey’ side winning all 3 matches played in the west. The Rebels have opened at $1.60 in this match, with the Force at $2.35, and the line has been set at 3.5.

Rugby League

The NRL season for 2014 kicks off tonight, and while most of the first round matches look difficult to predict, there have been a few significant moves in the betting.

The price for all 8 favourites to win was a little over $42 for a $1 outlay at noon on Thursday, and considering there is a $1.28 chance in there (North Queensland), that shows how closely priced the games are. The Roosters have been a solid mover in their opening match against Souths, now $1.62 after starting the week at $1.70. The Brisbane Broncos have been under scrutiny in the press since a disappointing trial loss to the Warriors, and they have been a noted drifter in Friday night’s clash with the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs have been the best backed side of the round, touching $1.65 early in the week, but into $1.56 by Thursday morning. Some of the bigger bets include $6600 at $1.60 and another of $4000 at -4.5, and the interest doesn’t look like abating.

Manly are the other side that punters have warmed to. The Eagles were $1.67 on Monday, but once Cooper Cronk was ruled out of Melbourne Storm, Manly were crunched into $1.55, with the Storm out to $2.50. Manly have their own issues with injured players, and there is talk about that Jamie Lyon may be a late withdrawal, so the Storm seem respectable odds. There has been specking for the Titans in their Monday night match against Cronulla, with speculation around that Todd Carney may be out of the Sharks side. The $2.35 for the Titans didn’t last long, and they are now into $2.25.

TattsBet will be betting live on all NRL matches, as well as at the breaks on Toyota Cup games, and of course live coverage continues on the Intrust Super Cup games televised on Channel 9. This week’s Channel 9 game will see Wynnum Manly host Easts in what should be a great battle.

TattsBet also has a special on the opening round of NRL. If you have a 1st try scorer bet, and your bet is a losing bet, we will refund it if the number 3 for EITHER side scores a try during the match. Details are on the website.