Gerard Daffy's TattsBet News - February 6

CRICKET

Both outsiders won the Big Bash semi-finals to play off in Friday’s final, and they were contrasting wins. The Hobart Hurricanes were always in a commanding position against ($2.90) the Melbourne Stars, while several rain interruptions looked likely to end the campaign of the Perth Scorchers ($2.08), but they were able to get enough play in to dispose of the Sydney Sixers.

The final will now be in Perth on Friday night, and the betting is divided between the 2 sides. Hobart opened at $2.00 but that quickly disappeared into $1.95, while there is now money for Perth at $1.85. Craig Simmons has been the ‘find’ of the BBL season and not surprisingly he has been the player most want to be the top run scorer for Perth once the market opened. Ben Dunk is the favourite for the Hobart Hurricanes, and both he and George Bailey have been the standouts with punters for the Hurricanes.

The 1st Test of the series between South Africa and Australia gets under way at Centurion next Wednesday, and although this week’s tour match for Australia was washed out, there is plenty of interest in them to win the 1st Test. South Africa are the favourites at $2.25, Australia are $3.15, while the draw is unwanted at $3.15. As part of the extended coverage that TattsBet now provides on sport around the world, we will be betting live throughout the tour of South Africa, with several exotic bet types (including most runs) updated throughout each innings.


GOLF

Charl Schwartzel has an imposing record in the Joburg Open, and he is $4.50 to win that event on the European Tour this week. Schwartzel won in 2010 and 2011, and was runner-up last year and also in 2009. Richard Sterne ($19) won last year and he also has good form in Johannesburg having won in 2008, so looks hard to beat. There has been early support for a few others including Thomas Aiken ($26-$19), Danny Willett ($29) and Steve Webster ($41-$34)

Most of the big names are missing from the AT &T Pebble Beach this week, and that gives Jason Day, the $11 favourite, a chance to win his second PGA Tour event. The next 2 players in the betting behind Jason Day, Dustin Johnson ($13) and Phil Mickelson ($14) have been quite popular in early betting, and both have terrific records in this event. Mickelson is a four-time winner, the most recent in 2012, while Johnson won in 2009 and 2010. Kevin Stadler won last week in Phoenix and has been specked at long odds ($51-$41) to win again. Naturally Day is the favourite ($1.90) to be ‘Top Aussie ahead of Matt Jones ($5.50), but there has been support for John Senden ($10) and Geoff Ogilvy ($17).


BASKETBALL

Perth was a raging-hot favourite for the NBL title when the Festive season arrived, but the Wildcats may have ploughed in to too much Christmas tucker as they have been ordinary the following six weeks. Trevor Gleeson’s side is 4-4 since December 25, and surprisingly, two of those losses have come at their home fortress, Perth Arena. The good news for ‘Cats fans is this Friday night, they take on Townsville, a team the men from the west have beaten twice in 2014, including a six-point victory at the Swamp a month ago. Townsville scored a desperately needed win when it toppled Wollongong at home last round to give itself the slightest sniff of a finals hope. That snapped an eight-game losing streak, but you have to go back to March, 2011, to find the last time Townsville triumphed over Perth. The Wildcats have a history of really ripping apart the Crocs, and the way they dealt with Melbourne last week, the 7.5-point line looks to be a safe play.

While Perth remains the $1.90 favourite to win the NBL title ahead of Adelaide ($3.00), Miami look like losing their mantle at the head of betting in the NBA title race.

The Heat have been clear favourites since betting first opened but have eased out to $3.25, and are being hotly pressed by the Indiana Pacers who are now $3.50, with Oklahoma City also solid at $5.00.


THE GAMES

The Games in Russia get under way this week, and now that the competitor lists are finally official, TattsBet is opening all gold medal markets. There has been a lot of movement in the markets to win most gold medals as well as how Australia will perform, and punters are tipping that we will have a very successful Games. The odds for Australia to win ‘3 or more gold’ has halved from an opening $16 into $8.00, while ‘exactly 2 gold’ has been backed from $4.50 into $3.00. Our two best hopes appear to be in the snowboard events where Alex Pullin is the $4.50 favourite to win the Men's Snowboard Cross while Torah Bright is the $2.75 second elect to win the Women's Halfpipe, the same event she won in Canada.

The overall gold medal tally has seen Norway backed from $3.25 into $2.15, the USA into $3.00 from $4.00, while Germany have eased from $4.50 out to $6.00, the same line as Canada.


NFL

Seattle won the Super Bowl earlier in the week as the $2.15 outsider, and while many would have been shocked to see a safety as the first scoring play, there were 67 TattsBet customers who correctly predicted that would happen. One of those clients had $100 on a safety at $81, with the closing price being $41. It was the second year in a row where the safety was the first scoring play, so there is a strong chance it won’t be $81 next year!

The market is already open for next year’s Super Bowl and Seattle are the opening favourites at $6.00 ahead of Denver at $8.00, with San Francisco next in line at $8.50. Seattle were one of the biggest movers last year in the pre-season market, $17 into $11 before the season started, so we will keep you posted on any significant moves in the coming months.


HARNESS RACING

The Interdominion market has been updated after the shock withdrawal of Christen Me, and Beautide is now $4.00 ahead of Smolda at $5.00. Christen Me put up an enormous performance to win the Hunter Cup last Saturday night when a very well backed favourite, while Beautide scored an easy victory at short odds at Menangle. Smolda has been the biggest mover for the week ($16-$5.00) after an impressive first up win at Addington last Friday night, and looks and barring a major accident should make it into the final. The heats will be run in a 90 minute time-span on Saturday week, and TattsBet will have those markets open shortly after the fields and barrier draws are announced.


GREYHOUNDS

There are several greyhound group races this week around Australia including the Perth Cup on Saturday night and the Healesville Cup on Sunday, and TattsBet will be covering both of those events as well as the normal fixed odds meetings. The Victorian trained Keybow is a $4.00 equal favourite with local hope Star Recall to win the Perth Cup, while recent Hobart 1000 winner Paw Licking will be the favourite to win the Healesville Cup after coming up with box 2 in the final. Two Queenslanders have made it through to the final, Coco Benz and Frosty Jay Jay, and both have drawn well in boxes 7 and 8. Due to the severe heat conditions currently prevailing in Victoria, that meeting will be conducted Sunday morning, but TattsBet will offer fixed odds on the Cup.


MULTI PLAYS OF THE WEEK

$2 at 3723/1 – won $7,447

8-leg NBA 1st February
Orlando Magic 11+ v Milwaukee @ $2.60
Atlanta Hawks 11+ v Philadelphia @ $2.95
Oklahoma 11+ v Brooklyn @ $2.95
Memphis 1-10 v Minnesota @ $2.70
Dallas 1-10 v Sacramento @ $2.65
Toronto 1-10 v Denver @ $2.80
Charlotte 1-10 v LA Lakers @ $3.10
Golden State 1-10 v Utah @ $2.65


$10 at 1155/1 – won $11,557

Sydney FC/Melb Heart HT/FT Double @ $23
Melb Victory/Draw HT/FT Double @ $15
Wellington/Wellington HT/FT Double @ $ 3.35


$46 at 300/1 – won $13,800

Eoin Morgan Most ENG Runs 3rd T20 @ $5
George Bailey Most AUS Runs 3rd T20 @ $6
Kevin Stadler Phoenix Open Winner @ $10


$1000 at 27/1 – won $28,386

Agitate – BR02 Sat 1st Feb @ $1.80
Total Authority – BR07 Sat 1st Feb @ $15.77