Gerard Daffy's TattsBet News - January 8

CRICKET

Australia won the Ashes series 5-0 and punters think that the Aussies will do the same in the upcoming ODI series, but this time there won’t be anything like the $67 that was on offer for the Ashes. The best-of-five series gets under way on Sunday at the MCG with a day/night match, and Australia has opened at $1.48 to kick off with a win. Not surprisingly nearly all of the early money is for Australia with only very little interest in England at $2.65. It is the same with the series betting where Australia quickly firmed from $1.42 into $1.37, and in the first four days of betting, less than $50 has been placed on England, now out to $3.10 after opening at $2.90. The ‘correct score’ for the series is creating plenty of interest with most bets on Australia to win 5-0 at $5.50. The 50 over form of the game is completely different to Test cricket but it seems as though punters are of the opinion that England will be on the receiving end of another hiding. The favourite way is for Australia to win 3-2 at $3.00, and an English whitewash (5-0) is $34, and not surprisingly there has been no taker. TattsBet will be betting live throughout each of the ODI matches and the top run scorer markets will also be available throughout each match.


SOCCER

TattsBet has opened a market on the Asian Champions League and defending champion Guangzhou heads the betting at $5.00. FC Seoul was the runner-up last year and opened at $8.00, while the three Australian teams are all at healthy odds. Western Sydney is $17, the Central Coast Mariners are $26, and Melbourne Victory is $29.This year the competition has been split into 2 divisions, and the Australian teams will be in the Éast' division which pits them against the Japanese, Chinese and Korean sides, and that will be a big ask. Qualifying starts in February and the group stage matches start in March.

Locally, Brisbane Roar has a commanding lead at the top of the A League title, and is now into $2.25 with the season just passing the half way mark. Sides can improve or go backwards as we have already seen this season, but there appears to be no stopping Roar which continues to perform even with injury problems. Amazingly Brisbane hasn’t featured in a drawn match this season and that statistic looks like staying in place when is hosts Adelaide this Saturday afternoon. Roar has been well backed already this week, quickly into $1.38 after opening at $1.40 with the draw at $4.60 and Adelaide at $7.25, and a bet of $5000 was then taken at $1.38. Wellington Phoenix has been the big improver recently and strung together 3 wins in a row. Phoenix looked on target to run last but turned it all around and the Kiwis are the $2.20 favourites at home on Sunday when they host the Mariners ($3.10), with the draw at $3.30.


TENNIS

The opening Grand Slam tournament of the year is just days away and interest is high after Lleyton Hewitt’s Brisbane International win on Sunday. The soon-to-be 33 year old was a $5.50 chance going into the Brisbane final but there was massive support for Federer ($1.18 into $1.15) ahead of the match.

Hewitt has firmed from $251 to $67 to win the Australian Open and Tattsbet has accepted almost twice the number of individual bets on the Aussie as the favourite Novak Djokovic ($2.60 into $2.10). But it’s Hewitt’s Brisbane final opponent Roger Federer who has attracted the highest number of wagers. The former world number one is rated a $15 chance in Melbourne and punters are happy to invest at that price. Of the others in the market, Rafael Nadal ($3 out to $3.25) and Andy Murray ($3.75 out to $8.50) have both been friendless.

The other Brisbane International winner, Serena Williams is far from friendless as she kicks off her campaign to win her sixth Australian Open title. Tattsbet punters have heavily backed the world number one from $2.25 into $1.75. The next two in the market, Victoria Azarenka ($5) and Maria Sharapova ($10) have attracted nibbles, but nowhere near to the hold on Serena.

Tattsbet will be betting LIVE on selected TV matches throughout the Australian Open.


NBL

After a couple of woeful seasons, the Adelaide 36ers have come back with a bang and look the real deal after destroying New Zealand last weekend, even without import guard Gary Ervin. The American will be back from a knee injury this weekend when the Sixers take on Sydney in the LIVE game on TEN as they look to keep the pressure on Perth in the race for the minor premiership.

Adelaide has won three on the bounce while Sydney is on a four-game losing streak, including three straight defeats at home. The Kings have won just one of six since former NBA player Sam Young joined the team in late November. The lack of a genuine ball-handler is hurting Shane Heal’s team, and 17 turnovers in the last three quarters killed any chance it had against the improving Taipans last weekend. Heal did get some good news last week with an impressive debut from Cody Ellis - the son of Perth Wildcats legend Mike Ellis – who has just returned to Australia from a stint in the US playing college ball. The 36ers easily won the previous encounter between the teams this season and they are unbeaten at Adelaide Arena in six starts, so it would be no surprise to see them record a double-digit victory in this one.

The gap at the head of the title betting has closed a little with Adelaide into $2.70 and Perth out to $1.90 after their loss last weekend. The Tigers have been a mover as well, now $8.50 after being $11 prior to winning their 2 matches last weekend.


GOLF

Zach Johnson recorded a two-shot victory in an entertaining Hyundai Tournament of Champions in Kapalua early in the week, and if he can hold that form he should be hard to beat in the upcoming Sony Open in Honolulu. Johnson went into the Hyundai as a $13 chance, but punters preferred Adam Scott and Dustin Johnson. Both were in a winning position at various stages but it was Zach Johnson who kept his cool throughout the final round. Scott is the opening $7.00 favourite in the Sony Open ahead of Zach Johnson ($11), Matt Kuchar ($13) and Jordan Spieth ($15). Spieth continued on with his impressive form by finishing 2nd in the Hyundai, and is gaining in popularity with punters. Last year's winner Russell Henley is also in the field, and is a $67 chance. Henley shot 3 rounds of 63 and another of 67 to win last year's event, so must be rated amongst the chances.

The European Tour resumes this week with The Volvo in Durban. 36 of the Tour winners from last season make up the field, and Charl Schwartzel is the favourite at $4.00 ahead of last year's winner Louis Oosthiuzen at $11. Jamie Donaldson is on the next line of betting at $12 along with Thomas Bjorn, while Australia will be represented by Brett Rumford who is $67. With the field limited to 36, there will be no cut at the weekend.


GREYHOUNDS

The Cranbourne Cup for greyhounds will be run tonight (Wed), and the race has opened up after the box draw. The heats were run in wet conditions last week when most of the leaders won, and the fastest heat winner, Bookkeeper ($3.00 fav), has drawn awkwardly in box 5. Banjo Boy ($4.00) has drawn the rails box but it was reported he suffered a stopper bone injury in his heat, an injury that often requires a lot of time off, so he must be a little risk even though he has run one of the fastest times ever around the Cranbourne circuit. Ex-NSW runner Keybow ($7.00) returned to form with an emphatic heat win and looks ideally drawn out in box 7.

Heats of the Devonport Cup were run on Tuesday of this week, and although a couple of the bigger names have missed out on making the final, it will still be an intriguing race. Ricky Ponting had a runner in last Saturday night’s Silver Chief at the Meadows, and while Top Innings had no luck at all in that race, Ponting will be looking for another of his runners, Rumbling Rick, to atone in the Devonport Cup. Rumbling Rick ran the quickest time in his heat when running down Yappin Jack, and is clearly the one to beat in the final.


HARNESS RACING

The 2014 Interdominion isn’t far away, and there has been a bit of movement in the market to win the final at Menangle. Christen Me failed again at Cambridge last week but hangs on to favouritism at $6.00 after a little over $2000 was placed on him prior to that failure. Beautide holds his place on the second line of betting at $6.50, but the big mover has been For A Reason, now a $7.00 chance. For A Reason was $15 in the opening market, $12 last week, but a constant stream of bets has the rejuvenated pacer into $7.00 and pushing for favouritism. Others to meet with support have been I’m Victorious ($21-$9.00) and Caribbean Blaster ($15-$12), but many of the major hopes will be contesting some of the country cups coming up as well as re-appearing at the trials. We will keep you posted on the major moves in the market as the series approaches.


GALLOPS

All eyes are on the Gold Coast this week, and although Unencumbered is now a clear cut favourite to take out the Magic Millions 2yo Classic, there are plenty of others in the race who have been backed to beat the favourite.

Unencumbered has been the favourite since winning the BJ McLachlan at Doomben a couple of weeks ago, and was cut from $4.20 into $3.80 after the barrier draw. He has been the best backed since the draw, however, while he was far too good at Doomben, it is worth noting that the way that race was run suited those coming from back in the field. Invisible has been easy in the betting since the draw ($5.00-$5.50) and it looks that price will drift, whereas Oakleigh Girl has been one of the best backed since she failed in the McLachlan. There were excuses that day, and her price continued to come in ($15-$8.00) after that race and prior to the draw. The interest hasn’t subsided as she has been one of the most popular in the market this week at $7.50. Cyclone is a firmer ($12-$11) with 2 punters betting to win $10,000 at $12; Celestial Dragon has been backed to win a similar amount on Tuesday at $15; and Divine Service has been the best backed of the ‘roughies’ including one bet of $1000 each way at $41.

Enquare has been the standout in betting for the 3Y0 Guineas, and firmed into $4.80 favourite after the barrier draw. Well over half of the money invested in the first 24 hours after the draw was for Enquare and he may even start shorter than the current quote. Sweet Idea was runner-up in the 2yo Millions last year, and while she is always well supported each time she runs, punters have shied away from her this week, out to $5.50 after the barrier draw. Charlie Boy will be first up in the Guineas, and although drawn awkwardly he has been $7.50 into $7.00, and has been the best backed runner apart from the favourite.