Gerard Daffy's TattsBet News - January 2

CRICKET

Favourites have fared a lot better in this season's Big Bash League than in the previous 2 seasons, and punters are cashing in on that success. Betting has exceeded expectations so far this season, and although the run of favourites would be a contributing factor, there is little doubt that the move to televise the BBL on free-to-air has been the right one. Most of the matches have had some twists and turns and that has seen unprecedented interest in the 'live' trading. Brisbane Heat have been the most popular side during the campaign so far and they return home on Thursday night after suffering a loss earlier in the week to the Melbourne Renegades. Brisbane opened at $1.65 in Thursday's game against the Sydney Sixers but were quickly crunched into $1.60 with the Sixers out to $2.35.

There are a lot of excited cricket followers out there who are hanging on to tickets for Australia to win the Ashes Series 5-0. Over 40 bets were taken for the Aussies to make a clean sweep of the series at $67 and $51, all before the 1st test, and TattsBet also took close to $5000 worth of bets for a 5-0 victory at $3.00 before the Boxing Day Test. Australia are now in the box seat to make that happen and punters agree as they have been $1.67 into $1.63 to win in Sydney. The largest bet taken early in the week was $5000 at $1.67 but Australia have been coupled up in multis with all of the major sports matches of the weekend. There was initially some support for England ($4.25 into $4.00), and while they are still at that quote, the money for them has dried up. Nobody wants anything to do with the draw, which has been $4.25 out to $4.75 already, and looking back the way each test has been played so far, that is understandable. England have been responsible for some amazing collapses, no more so than in Melbourne. It is hard to believe that the Poms were $1.85 into $1.70 at the end of the second day's play, the only time that they had been favourites apart from on the 1st day of the Gabba test. With South Africa struggling to put away India at the moment, and the retirement of Jacques Kallis, the Aussies can look forward to the upcoming test series in South Africa!


TENNIS

The Australian Open lead-up is well and truly underway and it’s already become clear that punters believe that the favourites will dominate.

Novak Djokovic is firming up just about every day as he looks to make it four titles in a row at Melbourne Park. He is already $2.60 into $2.10, on the back of a $4,000 bet at $2.20 yesterday. World number one Rafael Nadal is on the second line at $3.25 (out from $3), while Andy Murray has been the big drifter ($3.75 out to $7) after a less than impressive return from injury in Doha this week. Roger Federer ($13) and Juan Martin del Potro ($13) round out the top five in betting. The Australian contingent will once again be led by Bernard Tomic ($101) and Lleyton Hewitt ($251).

On the women’s side, Serena Williams is $2.25 into $1.80 ($3,000 taken) to win her sixth Australian Open crown. The world number one is the only one Tattsbet punters want just over a week out from the start of the tournament. Victoria Azarenka is the second fave at $5, with Maria Sharapova ($10) and Li Na ($11) the others in commission. Aussie Samantha Stosur is a $26 chance but indifferent form at the Hopman Cup has seen her friendless in the market.


GOLF

The Hyundai Tournament of Champions will be the first PGA Tour event after the break, and Adam Scott heads the market at $5.50.

The Hyundai will be played at the Plantation Course in Kapalua, and brings together 30 of the 35 Tour winners from last season, with 13 of those being first timers. Scott finished off a wonderful year with a couple of wins on home soil and it would come as no surprise that he is the one that punters are keen on this week. Dustin Johnson won this event last year and is on the second line of betting at $8.50 just ahead of Matt Kuchar ($9.00) and Webb Simpson ($10). Harris English has been well supported at $21 after bursting on the scene with a win last season and already has chalked up a win this season in the OHL Classic. For those looking for a little bit of value perhaps Martin Laird could be the one at $26. The Scot was runner-up to Dustin Johnson here last year and also tied for 4th in 2010.

TattsBet also has betting open on the US Tour money list as well as this year's US Masters. Tiger Woods heads both markets, $2.50 to win the money list, and is $6.50 to win the Masters ahead of the recently engaged Rory McIlroy at $10, and Adam Scott next in line at $13.


NFL

The Seattle Seahawks were one of the best backed sides to win the Super Bowl before the first round this season, and those that took the $17 would be on good terms with themselves as Seattle is now the $3.25 favourite. The Seahawks and the Denver Broncos ($3.50) have dominated the market for several months now, with the only other side to attract any support during that period being the San Francisco 49ers who are rock solid at $8.50. The 49ers will have to do it the hard way as they feature in the wild card playoffs this week, and face a difficult assignment against the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay opened at $2.25 but were quickly backed into $2.15 with San Francisco easing out to $1.71 from an opening $1.65. Three of the playoff matches have similar betting, and in each case, the outsiders have been where punters are pinning their faith. Apart from Green Bay, Kansas City have been $2.15 into $2.08 to beat Indianapolis, and New Orleans have been $2.15 into $2.10 to beat Philadelphia. Both New Orleans and Kansas City are away from home while the Packers host San Francisco. The other match will see Cincinnati host San Diego, and while all of the stats point towards a win to the Bengals, again there has been money for the outsiders with San Diego in marginally from $3.50 to $3.35, and also a very good push for them with 7 points start.

TattsBet will be betting live throughout the playoffs, and the Super Bowl market will be updated at the end of each day’s play.


GREYHOUNDS

TattsBet has an early fixed odds market up on this Saturday night's Silver Chief final at the Meadows.

There were several upsets during the heats and the semi-finals, and the box draw has made the final that little bit more difficult to predict. Recent Ballarat Cup finalist Deadly Vane heads the betting at $3.50 from Top Innings at $4.50. Top Innings is owned by Ricky Ponting and is sure to have a big following. The box draw looks to suit Ride The Rails who has drawn the check and is $5.00 in early betting. Ride The Rails failed to win over the last 2 weeks but put in a big effort last week and is capable of using the inside to his advantage. Just a reminder that TattsBet offers fixed odds on all major meetings five nights a week.

 

RACING

The BJ McLachlan run at Doomben last Saturday probably raised more questions than it answered as far as the upcoming Magic Millions s concerned. The race was run at a frenetic pace which brought about the undoing of race favourite Oakleigh Girl, who subsequently drifted from $5.00 out to $15 to win the MM. However, this week punters have forgiven that blot on her form line and Oakleigh Girl has continued to firm, now into $8.00.

Unencumbered won the race impressively at Doomben and is the new MM favourite at $4.20 but surprisingly there hasn't been a lot of interest in him, many thinking that the race was made to order last Saturday. Invisible is the other major shortener since betting reopened on Saturday night, $5.50 into $4.60, while ex-favourite Echo Gal has been a marked drifter, $4.50 out to $21. Echo Gal was gone a long way from home at Doomben and was then found to be suffering from the thumps, but reports are that she has improved this week and may even still run on Saturday week.