Crows Try To Halt Cats Charge

Picture: Getty Images/adelaidenow.com.au
Scott Thompson will be vital with Patrick Dangerfield missing. Image courtesy of adelaidenow.com.au/Getty Images
Last Five Matches

Round 18, 2012 – Geelong 102 d Adelaide 75 at Skilled Stadium
Round 7, 2012 – Adelaide 122 d Geelong 72 at AAMI Stadium
Round 21, 2011 – Geelong 96 d Adelaide 85 at AAMI Stadium
Round 14, 2011 – Geelong 125 d Adelaide 73 at Skilled Stadium
Round 16, 2010 – Adelaide 74 d Geelong 63 at AAMI Stadium


Form

     Rd 12       Rd 13       Rd 14       Rd 15       Rd 16   
Adelaide    L  B  W  L  L
Geelong    B  L  W  W  W

There is not a team in the competition that deserves its spot on the ladder more than Adelaide . The Crows are in 12th spot; their six wins have come over five teams below them on the table, as well as 11th-placed North Melbourne. They simply haven’t been good enough to beat the better teams in the competition, as evidenced by their spirited but futile efforts against Collingwood in a 27-point loss last Friday night.

After back-to-wins over Fremantle and Hawthorn, Geelong didn’t back off against Melbourne. Instead, they suffocated the Demons on a horrible day at Simonds Stadium, keeping their opposition to an AFL record low number of inside 50s. The 68-point victory would probably have been twice that on a dry day.

The Crows have suffered a massive blow with speedy midfielder Patrick Dangerfield out with a shoulder injury, while Matthew Jaensch has been dropped. Geelong welcomes back Joel Corey, Corey Enright and Matthew Stokes , although Steve Johnson is suspended.


Key Men

(Crows) Tom Lynch – One positive from a pretty ordinary season for Adelaide has been the emergence of Tom Lynch . After coming over from St Kilda last season, Lynch made a name for himself with a ten-goal haul against the hapless Giants earlier this year. His four goals against the Magpies on Friday night showed he is more than just a flat-track bully. When Taylor Walker returns next season, Lynch and Josh Jenkins should still be able to find a place in Adelaide’s forward line.

(Cats) Joel Selwood – There can’t be too many more players you’d want in the wet than Geelong skipper Joel Selwood . He loves it in the clinches, and it showed last weekend when he finished with 10 tackles against the Demons, while picking up 29 touches. Steve Johnson was the standout with 38 touches, but Selwood is more important to the Cats as he keeps himself on the field.


Prediction

Geelong has won four of its past six against Adelaide at AAMI Stadium, and home ground advantage doesn’t seem to have done much for the Crows this year, anyway. They’re 2-6 in Adelaide this season, and those two wins came against ordinary Bulldogs and Saints teams. The only concern for the Cats is complacency; a few weeks back they clocked off way too early against Brisbane after dominating the first two-and-a-half quarters and paid the price with a stunning five-point loss . You would think with finals on the horizon Chris Scott won’t tolerate any sort of drop off in performance. Geelong by 29 points .

Click here to bet on AFL Round 17 matches