Crows Look To Bounce Back

AFL - Adelaide Crows
The Crows' season is on a knife's edge after six losses in 11 games. Image courtesy of adelaidenow.com.au/Sarah Reed
Last Five Meetings

Round 14, 2012 – Adelaide 106 d Richmond 87 at AAMI Stadium
Round 23, 2011 – Richmond 121 d Adelaide 99 at AAMI Stadium
Round 18, 2010 – Richmond 100 d Adelaide 80 at MCG
Round 7, 2010 – Adelaide 104 d Richmond 54 at AAMI Stadium
Round 14, 2009 – Adelaide 102 d Richmond 85 at Metricon Stadium


Form

     Rd 7       Rd 8       Rd 9       Rd 10       Rd 11   
Richmond    W  W  L  W  B
Adelaide    W  W  W  L  L

Last year’s preliminary finalist, Adelaide , has officially reached the low point of its 2013 season. The 77-point loss to a stellar Sydney side on Saturday was the Crows’ worst loss at home in 19 years. What was evident was a lack of pressure and effort, which was in stark contrast to what made them such a success in 2012.

If there is one team that looks like its playing in dinner suits, it’s Richmond , and there’s little doubt the Tigers will enjoy playing a team which is putting its opponents under such little defensive pressure. Adelaide is ranked 15th for tackles laid this season, while Richmond is last, so this really should be a free-flowing game. In saying that, the Tigers’ pressure against the Eagles was outstanding, so the pressure will be on to reproduce that effort level.

Brenton Sanderson has made a host of changes including the omission of veteran Brent Reilly, while Jared Petrenko is out with a shoulder injury. David Mackay, Matthew Jaensch and Matthew Wright are among the inclusions. Richmond young guns Brandon Ellis and Reece Conca are back in the side after short injury lay-offs.


Key Men

(Tigers) Jack Riewoldt – He is undoubtedly one of the best forwards in the competition, but Jack Riewoldt has had his troubles against Adelaide in the past. He has kicked just 10 goals in six games against the Crows, which is well below the three goals per game he averaged last season to win the Coleman Medal. His importance to Richmond is illustrated by the fact he has just nine goals in the Tigers’ four losses, and 22 in their six victories. If the Crows shut him down, they will go a long way towards taking the four points.

(Crows) Rory Sloane – The Crows have lost two on the bounce, but young midfielder Rory Sloane has been in the club’s top couple of players on each occasion. He is averaging almost four tackles per game, which is around his 2012 average, and he is one player who hasn’t really dropped off his defensive pressure. He has also topped his team’s possession count the past two weeks picking up 30 touches in the torrid affair with Freo, and backed that up with another 31 last week in the flogging by Sydney. He averages seven more disposals per game at home than he does away, though, so a breakout effort on the road would help this weekend.


Prediction

On form, it’s tough to see Adelaide getting the chocolates in this one. The Crows are 1-1 in Victoria this season, but, realistically, they should be 0-2 after escaping with a win against the Kangaroos. Even during their remarkable run in 2012, Adelaide still only won two of its six games after touching down at Tullamarine. The Tigers have split their six games at the ‘G this year, but those three losses have come against three of the best teams in the competition in Geelong, Collingwood and Essendon. If they play with the same attitude they took over to Perth to beat the Eagles two weeks ago, they should get home relatively easily against a Crows team that has scored just 109 points in its past two games. Tigers by 22 points

Click here to bet on AFL Round 12 Matches