Gerard Daffy's TattsBet News - November 27

RUGBY LEAGUE

After seven weeks of matches, the Rugby League World Cup final will be played on Saturday night and Australia are all the rage. Prior the tournament getting underway, New Zealand had been backed from $5.25 into $3.75 and even touched $3.00 after the second week but are now relatively unwanted at $3.60.

There is no doubt that they were very fortunate to beat England last week and although Australia defeated Fiji by more than 60 points, punters are of the opinion that the easier game will be of no detriment to their chances as opposed to the Kiwi’s come from behind win.

This week Australia has firmed from an opening $1.38 into $1.30 on the back of several four-figure bets and given the weight of money they look certain to start shorter.

It has been a tourney for the underdogs covering the line, and this game is set at 8.5 points. Any support we have seen for New Zealand to date has been at the +8.5. In the margin betting, the popular way for punters is Australia 1-12 which opened at $2.85 and was quickly backed into $2.70 with the 13+ option now out to $2.35.

Tattsbet will be betting LIVE throughout the Rugby World Cup Final as we kick off our 24/7 online trading.


RUGBY UNION

The Wallabies spring tour comes to a conclusion this week when they take on Wales and the visitors are the slightest of favourites at $1.80 with Wales at $2.00. Australia got the job done with a six point win over Scotland last week despite having an undermanned side. They were however still unable to cover the line of 9.5 points.

Wales weren’t overly impressive in beating Tonga either. They did however rest a lot of players and now find themselves back to full strength with a side boasting ten Lions players.

It’s the seventh meeting in the last 3 years between these two. The Wallabies have won the last 8 (4 of those in Cardiff) albeit by small margins. The last seven Wallaby victories have all been by single figures; 2, 1, 2, 8, 6, 3 & 9 pts. Either team under 7.5 points could be the go here.


GOLF

Adam Scott will attempt to complete the “Aussie Slam” by adding the Australian Open to the PGA and Masters titles he has already claimed in November. The Queenslander is once again popular with punters at $3.75, but at this price we consider the world number two to be a massive risk. Playing four weeks in a row for a professional these days is almost unprecedented and as we saw last week at Royal Melbourne, any lapse in concentration can be costly.

Second favourite Rory McIlroy has been most popular however, with punters lining up to take the $7. The Northern Irishman still yet to win in 2013 but punters keep fronting up to back him each week. He stands out as the second best player in the field, but he has had a disastrous year and was 51st in his only start here back in 2006.

A couple of players that have also been backed are previous winners at Royal Sydney, John Senden ($23), who won the Australian Open in 2006 and Aaron Baddeley ($26) who has won the Australian Open twice – including in 1999 at Royal Sydney.

Tattsbet will bet LIVE through the final round on Sunday until the last putt is holed.


BOXING

It appears that the Australian public haven’t really warmed to the replay of the bout that never happened between Shane Mosley and Anthony Mundine. Turnover is running at only half of what it was at the same time ahead of the previously scheduled encounter. Solid support for Mosley has seen his price firm from $1.65 to $1.60 with Mundine at $2.25 out to $2.35.

While it has been a much smaller betting bout this time around, there has been three times as much support for Mosley, but one punter has bucked the trend with a t $2K wager on Mundine to win by KO at $9 (now into $6.50). Facts and figures point to that being an unlikely end to the fight.

Tattsbet will be betting LIVE throughout tonight’s bout.


CRICKET

The second Ashes Test is still a little over a week away but punters have shown their hand early by backing the draw from $2.75 to $2.60. There was an avalanche of money for the draw in the First Test – all weather related – but the Aussie quicks went through the Englishmen with a day to spare. The prices on that test fluctuated wildly in the first two days with all three options favoured at different stages, with the high price of the Australian win being $4.25 at lunch on day two.

With a 1-nil lead in the series and plenty of wind in their sails, we are expecting money to come for Australia at $2.50. But it is evident that punters have gone cold on the hopes of an English fight back as they have drifted $3.20 out to $3.50.
Australia are now $1.63 to win the Ashes series and reclaim the Urn with England out to $4 to retain the famous trophy after being $1.80 before the first ball was bowled at the Gabba. The drawn series is the least popular of the three options and is the outsider at $4.75.


NBL

Despite both teams sitting in the top four, Melbourne and Sydney have made major adjustments in the early stages of the NBL season. The Tigers are already on to import No. 4 this season with the arrival last week of Mustapha Farrakhan, while former NBA player Sam Young debuted for the Kings last weekend. The chopping and changing did little to help the fortunes of either side with Melbourne handing Townsville a rare away win while Sydney was unceremoniously, and somewhat predictably, thrashed by the Wildcats in Perth in one of the most lopsided games in many seasons.

The Kings won the first match between these teams in the season opener 73-69, but that was before the personnel changes, and Melbourne was also without leading scorer Chris Goulding. The Tigers had won their last three at home prior to the surprise loss to the Crocs, while the Kings have won just one match on the road this campaign. The line has been set at 3.5 points for this game but given the Kings are still without a natural point guard, Melbourne should be able to cover the minus in this one.


HARNESS RACING

One of the time honoured events on the Australian Harness calendar will be conducted at Menangle on Saturday night with the running of the Miracle Mile. The eleven year-old marvel Smokin Up forced his way into the field with a sub-1.50 win at Menangle last week and has drawn suitably in barrier one. The veteran is on the fourth line of betting at $4.80 but has easily been the most popular with punters in early trading.

For a Reason is the $3.30 favourite ahead of Beautide at $3.70, with the Kiwi Christen Me at $4.20.

This would have to be one of the most open Miracle Miles we have ever seen and tactics will play an important part. One runner that has been specked at odds is the much improved Victorian Restrepo at $13. We’ve also seen some specking for Mach Beauty at $17, with some experts thinking that the horse will lead and be hard to beat.