TattsBet News 22nd March
By Tatts Staff
- March 22, 2012 12:34PM
NRL favourites fared slightly better last week with five of the eight winning, but the big result for bookmakers was on Monday night when Cronulla defeated Manly 17-14. Manly were all the rage before the game, and firmed into $1.43 at kick off. There was big money for the Sea Eagles to cover the line of 6 points, as well as win by 13 plus. They were never in the hunt during the first half, and when the Sharks led 17-0 at half time, Tattsbet posted them at $1.26. At this point, we took our biggest ‘live’ bet for the season, a wager of $50,000 for the Sharks to win. The punter eventually won $13,000 from his bet, but he would have had a few harrowing minutes in the final part of the game as Manly continued to attack.
That was a fantastic victory for Cronulla, but they face a difficult task this week when they travel to Townsville. Teams who play Monday night have a terrible record the next week, and when you add to that the fact that the Sharks played a tough game in heavy conditions, and now have to travel to a humid Townsville, we don’t fancy them at all. Some punters disagree however as the early money on this game has been for the Sharks to win at $3.00, and also for them with 7.5 points start.
Souths are coming off a short week as well, and that is the main reason why they are $2.25 to beat the Broncos on Friday night. This game will be played in Perth, and while both sides obviously have to travel there, Brisbane have the advantage of an extra couple of days off. This is shaping as the betting game of the round, money has been split down the middle, but it appears as though Broncos fans think their side will win again.
The all-conquering Bulldogs have been the biggest mover in premiership betting this week. The Dogs were $13.00 before beating New Zealand last week, and have zoomed in to $7.50 second picks behind the Storm at $6.00. Brisbane and Manly are next in line at $8.00 ahead of the Warriors ($9.00), North Queensland and the Tigers, both at $11.00. The bulk of the bets this week has been for the Bulldogs and the Cowboys, and from what we saw last weekend, both look the real deal. The turnaround in fortunes for the Cowboys and the Titans from that upset in Round 1 has been amazing, but that just goes to prove how difficult this competition is.
Last weekend was a very strange round for the Australian sides in Super Rugby. The only side to win was the Western Force, and they were rank outsiders against the Waratahs. The Brumbies, Waratahs, Reds and Rebels were all beaten, and ironically all were in a winning position in the last few minutes. The Reds have picked up more injuries, but remain second favourites to win the title at $5.50 behind the Crusaders at $4.25. The big movers have been the Stormers, Highlanders (both $7.00) and the Chiefs at $7.50.
The Crusaders return to Christchurch this week, and playing at a new ground in front of a parochial home crowd, they are expected to give the Cheetahs a nice old hiding. The Crusaders are $1.09 to win, and there has been early money for them to cover the line of 16.5 points. The Rebels have been a major disappointment this season, and they face a tricky assignment when they host the Force on Friday night. The Rebels are slight favs at $1.85, and are coming off a short week, and this is one game that could go either way. The Blues v Hurricanes is the first game up for the round, and although they have a mounting injury list as well, the Blues have firmed in betting from an opening $1.62 into $1.57. They were the side that everybody was tipping to take the title before the season got under way, and to date they have been a major disappointment.
The Reds can’t take a trick at the moment, and after leading 17-0 against the Sharks last week, they were over-run to go down by 5 points. It has been well documented about the injuries they received, and they face a big hurdle this week against the Bulls. Normally there is plenty of early support for the Reds, but that hasn’t happened here as they are virtually unwanted at $3.55, or even with 8.5 points start.
The new AFL season gets under way this week with only one game in Sydney. The GWS make their debut, and surprisingly there have been plenty of punters who think they can provide a fairy tale start by beating the Swans. The $14.00 for GWS has been quite popular, but in all reality they will be up against it. The line is where most of the action has been this week, and after an early charge for the GWS at +85.5, money later in the week has been for Sydney, and the line has moved to 87.5. The Swans have a history of not really burying sides, and that makes this a very intriguing line. The rest of the round will be played next week, and the early movers have been Hawthorn ($2.15 into $1.90), Melbourne ($1.45 into $1.37) and Port Adelaide ($3.25 into $2.85).
In premiership betting, Collingwood are out to $4.00 as we continue to see money for Hawthorn (now $4.50 after opening at $6.50), Geelong ($5.00) and Adelaide ($21.00). The Crows have been best backed this week after winning the NAB Cup, and the support hasn’t ended there with Patrick Dangerfield backed to win close to $200,000 for the Brownlow (100/1 into 50/1), and Taylor Walker well supported to win the Coleman Medal at $17.00.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational is always a great event, and all eyes will be on Tiger Woods this week to see if he has recovered from an Achilles problem. Tiger is the $8.50 favourite with Tattsbet, and while there hasn’t exactly been a rush to back him, this is one of his favourite events, having won it six times in the past. Woods’ form has been on the improve this year, so we won’t be taking any big risks with him. Phil Mickelson is the second elect at $14.00 ahead of Justin Rose ($17.00) and Webb Simpson ($19.00). There has been early money for Rose, along with Sergio Garcia ($23.00),Bubba Watson ($26.00) and Bo Van Pelt at $29.00. Europeans have dominated the PGA Tour over the past few weeks having won three in a row, and that might explain the support for Rose and Garcia. Martin Laird won this event last year and is a $51.00 chance.
The European Tour event this week is in Morocco, with the playing of the Trophee Hassan 11. This is an interesting event as it is played around the gardens of the late King Hassan 11, and isn’t open to the public. Italians Francesco Molinari and Matteo Manassero head the market at $13.00 and $14.00 respectively, but punters have been steering clear of Manassero as he battles a wrist injury. South African Jaco Van Zyl ran third last year and has been backed at $23.00 along with Marcel Siem ($31.00) and Joost Luiten. Value hunters could do worse than look at Rhys Davies and David Horsey, both at $51.00. Horsey won here in a playoff from Davies last year, and Davies won the event two years ago.
The McLarens impressed all at the Australian GP last week with Lewis Hamilton qualifying fastest and team-mate Jenson Button getting the chequered flag. Both were always well in the betting, but Hamilton did eventually start race favourite at $1.90 ahead of Button at $3.30. That result has seen some movement in the Driver’s Championship with Sebastian Vettel easing out to $2.50, with Button and Hamilton nearly halving their odds at $3.50 and $3.75. Mark Webber is $15.00 after finishing fourth in Melbourne.
There is a quick back up with the F1’s in action again this week in Malaysia. There was less than 1 second between the top eight on the grid last week, and that suggests we might be in for a competitive season. The betting on this week is very open with Vettel and Button equal favourites at $3.25 ahead of Hamilton at $3.50. Webber is next in line at $8.00, but there has been a really wide spread of money for most of the drivers, most noteably Fernando Alonso ($15.00) and Michael Schumacher ($19.00). As well as the winner market, Tattsbet will have a number of other exotic bet types available.
The ANZ Championship season begins next week, and the Queensland Firebirds are $2.50 to make it back to back wins. Waikato/Bay of Plenty Magic occupy the second line of betting at $5.50, narrowly ahead of the West Coast Fever at $6.00. Our netball analyst is tipping the Fever to go all of the way this season, but does admit that the travelling is an issue. Apart from early money for the Firebirds, the best backed of the rest has been the Adelaide Thunderbirds at $13.00. Betting on the first round will be open on the Friday before the first game.
Samaready will go around in Saturday’s Reisling Stakes as an odds on favourite, and should she win there then she will justify the heavy backing this week to win the Golden Slipper. Since Monday of this week, Samaready has firmed from $4.60 into $3.90 to win the Slipper, led up by a bet of $2500 at $4.60 and several bets of $1000 on the way down. Boom youngster All Too Hard is another firmer, now $5.50 after being $7.00 last week, but Team Hawkes are still yet to confirm in Black Caviar’s half brother will contest the big race. Betting suggests he will! The BMW will be on the same program as the Slipper in a couple of week’s time, and Americain is the favourite there at $2.70 ahead of Manighar ($6.00) and Shoot Out ($7.50).
He’s Remarkable was an impressive winner of the Newmarket at Newcastle on Wednesday, and at least one punter is sitting pretty after placing $2000 on He’s Remarkable at $41.00 to win the Doncaster. The bet was placed last week, and after Wednesday’s win he is now a $17.00 chance. Atlantic Jewel and Mosheen head the betting at $8.00, but there has been a really good push for Said Com, now into $14.00 after a close second to Mosheen last week.
The feature event this Saturday will be the Coolmore Classic at Rosehill, and although Streama is the opening $3.00 favourite, the early money has been for King’s Rose ($10.00) and Secret Admirer at $13.00.
$50,000 at $1.26 Cronulla Sharks to beat Manly in NRL (LIVE) – WON
$1,000 at $34 Newcastle Most Season Losses in NRL (now into $26)
MULTI OF THE WEEK
4-leg Multi $5 at 1482/1 winning $7,416
1. Azarenka 6-0 1st set vs Radwanska WTA Indian Wells QF at 15.00
2. Djokovic 6-0 1st set vs Andujar ATP Indian Wells R4 at 8.00
3. Kerber 2-0 sets vs Na Li WTA Indian Wells QF at 5.15
4. Melbourne Storm 13+ v Gold Coast in NRL R3 at 2.40