TattsBet News 23rd February

CRICKET

The final of the Ryobi Cup will be conducted on Saturday at the Adelaide Oval, and the South Australian Redbacks go into the final as slight $2.00 outsiders. The Redbacks have plenty of big hitters, but punters have shown a preference for Tasmania at $1.80. It seems as though Ricky Ponting will pad up for the Tigers as most of the support has come since that was announced, but Ponting’s form in the shortened version of the game at an international level has been far from good. There will be live betting at Tattsbet throughout the final.

The ODI series moves south with Australia lining up against Sri Lanka in Hobart on Friday. Sri Lanka have found some form, and have zoomed into $4.00 chances to win the final after being $15.00 last week. Australia remain short at $1.50, with India now the outsider at $6.00. Australia opened at $1.57 to win Friday’s match with Sri Lanka at $2.40, and the early money has been split between the two. The conditions in Hobart are more likely to suit the visiting side, and we can see another upset on the cards.

RUGBY LEAGUE

Manly were a very big mover in the World Club Challenge game last week, but were never really in the hunt against Leeds. The Sea Eagles were backed from $1.65 into $1.48, and although they may have been on the receiving end of a couple of dubious decisions, the Rhinos were simple too good. That loss by Manly has seen some money come for the Warriors ($1.65) to beat them in the first round next week, and they have also eased out to $10.00 to win the title.

St George Illawarra won the Charity Shield against Souths, but clearly punters were not too impressed as there has been very little interest in the Dragons to take the title. The Dragons opened at $15.00, and that price is still there, but ironically Souths are into the same quote after being on the $17.00 last week. The big money sides continue to be the Tigers ($7.50), Brisbane ($9.00) and Melbourne ($9.00), but we are expecting that things will change markedly as we count down to the season opener.

There have been a few other moves on the first round. The Titans have been $2.75 into $2.55 to beat the Cowboys after doing exactly that in a trial last week, and Brisbane have been $1.90 into $1.72 (Parra $1.90 out to $2.10) after the Eels picked up injuries to Hayne and Mannah in their trial last week.

AFL

Hawthorn have displaced Geelong as second favourites to win this year’s AFL flag, and they have also been coupled up in some big NRL/AFL doubles. One punter has placed $2000 on the Hawthorn/Wests Tigers combo to win close to $100,000, and that wasn’t the first decent bet on that combination. The Hawks had another bet of $2000 placed on them at $5.50 late last week, and are now into $5.00. Geelong are out to $5.50, and are very hard to sell, while Collingwood are in a fraction to $3.65 after touching $4.00 a few weeks ago.

Carlton are solid in betting at $9.00, and have had a bet of $3000 placed on them for a top 4 finish, while a Swans fan plonked $5500 on Sydney to grab a top 8 finish at $1.90. One of the biggest bets to date on round one has been for the Blues, with a $4000 bet placed at $1.33 for a win against Richmond.

The NAB Cup games have thrown up their share of upsets so far, and it was noticeable that Coleman Medal followers have picked up on what Hawthorn did with Lance Franklin last week. Big Buddy played more of a midfield role, and that has seen a good spread of money come for a lot of other players to win the Coleman. Jack Riewoldt ($8.00), Taylor Walker ($17.00), Jonathon Brown ($17.00) and Matthew Pavlich ($34.00) are the players that have been backed this week, and there hasn’t been a bet for Franklin at $2.75.

RUGBY UNION

The Super Rugby season starts this week, and what a round it is. ‘Rivalry Round’ gets under way between the Blues and the Crusaders, and the Blues have been the team that punters have warmed to. After opening at $1.75 three weeks ago, the Blues are in to $1.67, with the Crusaders out to $2.20. The line has been set at 3 points, and it will be very interesting to see how the Crusaders go without Dan Carter and Richie McCaw who are on the injured list.

The other match creating the most interest has been the Waratahs v Reds, and there has been a really good push for the Reds. After opening $2.25, the Reds are now into $1.95, with the Waratahs out to $1.85 after Berrick Barnes was ruled out. The Reds are also into equal second favourites at $5.50 to win the title along with the Blues, and those two sides carry most of the ‘futures’ money. The Crusaders have been hard to lay at $4.25, and while they are normally slow to start each season, they will be back at home this year after all of the turmoil of last year.

DARTS

Tattsbet has been granted permission to bet on darts, and we will be covering the Premier League action from this Friday onwards. Phil Taylor has been installed $2.25 favourite to win the title ahead of Adrian Lewis at $4.50, then next in line Gary Anderson and Aussie Simon Whitlock at $6.50. Whitlock is a $1.50 chance against Kevin Painter on Friday morning, while Taylor is $1.33 to beat Raymond Van Barneveld. Each match will have a line as well as a correct score option available, and of course all are available to multi up.

RACING

The smart early money was for Samaready to win this year’s Blue Diamond, and on the back of an impressive win at Caulfield a fortnight ago, and a favourable barrier draw, the Mick Price trained filly is now a warm $2.10 chance. Several separate bets of $1000 were taken on Samaready at $21.00, $19.00 and $17.00 in early betting, and that continued at $8.00 prior to her last win. Since the barrier draw, punters have been eager to take the $2.10, led up by one bet of $4000. The Travelling Man is now second elect at $10.00, ahead of No Looking Back ($1000 each way at $11.00) and Jimando ($12.00). Jimando attracted bets of $4000 at $9.50 and $2500 at $9.00 last week, but that has since dried up. Formidable ($14.00) has been specked since the barrier draw was done, and could be the one to spring an upset.

NOTABLE BETS

$12,240 at $1.82 Central Coast Mariners to beat Wellington in A-League
$5,000 at $4.75 Souths 13+ vs. St George Illawarra Charity Shield

Futures

$6,000 at $1.50 Manly to make NRL Final Eight (still $1.50)
$5,500 at $1.90 Sydney to make AFL Final Eight (now into $1.80)
$3,000 at $7.50 Wests Tigers NRL Minor Premiership (now into $6)
$1,000 at $51 Wests Tigers/Hawthorn NRL/AFL Premiership Double (now into $36)

$6,000 at $1.72 West Coast to beat Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 1 (now into $1.68)