TattsBet News 2nd February

RUGBY LEAGUE

The marketing team at the NRL seem to have done their job as there has been terrific interest in Saturday night’s All Stars game.

There has been a really good push for the Indigenous All Stars, with the weight of support forcing them into favourites after opening at $2.05. The Indigenous team are now $1.85, and it doesn’t look like that will stop punters either. There has been a lot spoken in the press about how much this game means to this side on the back of the sad passing of Arthur Beetson, and there is little or no doubt that this match will be treated much differently than a normal trial game.

The NRL All Stars have blown from $1.75 out to $1.95, and while we are seeing money for them at Tattsbet, the ratio of bets is trading at 2-1 against them. All of the usual bet types available on normal NRL matches will be opened on the big game, and there will also be live betting throughout on 131 939.

The English Super League season kicks off Saturday morning (Queensland time).

CRICKET

Australia may have lost the toss on Wednesday night, but we bet that they were shocked when India sent them in to bat! There is always a lot of conjecture about whether you should bat first when there is rain around, but it didn’t matter when they cruised to an easy win, much to the joy of punters. The Aussies were backed from an opening $1.65 into $1.55 prior to the toss, and even though they touched $1.60 again after the coin was thrown in the air, the damage was done.

So we move on to the second match in Melbourne Friday night, and even though Australia have been installed at $1.53, it didn’t take long for punters to signal that they were happy to take that – one punter bet $10,000 at that price this morning. India have been posted at $2.50, and have hardly attracted a bet, so we are looking for a much better showing than they displayed on Wednesday night.

The Pakistan v England Test Series has been intriguing, and after an unbelievable win in the second test, Pakistan go into the third as slight favourites at $2.50 ahead of England ($2.55) and the draw unwanted at $3.45. The bowlers have had the better of the bat throughout this series, and judging by the lack of interest in the draw, it is expected to be the case again.

AFL

The start of the AFL season is closing in on us quickly, and we are beginning to see a lot more interest in many of the futures markets. In flag betting, Collingwood remain the well backed $4.00 favourites ahead of Geelong ($5.00), Hawthorn ($5.50) and Carlton ($8.00), but there is also interest in a few others, including West Coast at $13.00 and St Kilda at $17.00. Some intriguing match-ups in Round 1 make the premiership betting even more intriguing as it is possible both Collingwood ($1.75 against Hawthorn) and Geelong ($1.70 against Fremantle) could easily lose their season openers.

Final 8 betting is starting to warm up with a bet of $9000 coming this week for St Kilda at $1.60, while Greater Western Sydney have had more bets placed on them than their cross town rivals the Sydney Swans. Perhaps the GWS fans think the odds of $67.00 are attractive, but our AFL analysts say that the debutantes will battle to win one game, let alone enough to make the finals!

ACADEMY AWARDS

The Screen Actors Guild Awards were handed out earlier in the week, but all they have done is confuse the issue in the two main categories of the Academy Awards.

Jean Dujardin won the SAGA for his performance in The Artist, but he wasn’t in the nominations for a Golden Globe when George Clooney won that award. Clooney has eased from $1.30 out to $1.50 for the Best Actor Oscar with Dujardin at $2.25, but it is Clooney where all the money is going.

The Best Actress Oscar is just as intriguing after Viola Davis won the SAG award. Meryl Streep failed to impress that particular judging panel after winning the Golden Globe award, but remains slight $1.85 favourite (out from $1.40) ahead of Davis at $1.90. While it is important to win the lead-up awards, it is worth noting that the voter numbers rise significantly for the Academy Awards. The Golden Globes and Screen Actors Guild Awards are decided by only a few hundred voters, whereas the Oscars have 6000+ who decide. At least with differing opinions in the first two major awards, we now have really good betting contests in both awards.

SUPERBOWL XLVI

The New York Giants beat the Patriots in the Superbowl final of 2008, and Tattsbet punters think that history will be repeated next Monday morning Australian time.

The Giants opened at $2.35 once the two finalists were known, but have been backed all the way down to $2.15. As a result of that, the New England Patriots have drifted from an opening $1.60 out to $1.71. The line remains at a flat 3, but the +3 for the Giants is now $1.78, while the -3 New England is $2.05.

Many of the experts are tipping under 55 points as a game total, and that has resulted in plenty of betting activity coming for that option with Tattsbet at $1.90. On face value it does appear a very high total for a Superbowl final, and the strong New England defense has been at it best over the last six weeks of the season proper.

There are numerous betting options available on the final, and betting will be available live throughout the match.

HARNESS RACING

Some early fixed odds markets are available for the Melton meeting on Saturday night. The program features the Inter Dominion Trotting Final, the time honoured A.G. Hunter Cup, and the Victoria Derby. In the Derby, Restrepo is the favourite ($2.40) ahead of Ideal Scott ($3.10) and Scandalman at $5.50, but early betting would suggest that there are several chances to win.

This will be the last Inter Dominion run for the trotters, so it will be a memorable race no matter who wins. The heats were exciting, especially the dead heat last week between race favourite I Can Doosit and I Didn’t Do It. One had to feel for the race caller as these two settled down to fight it out, and he for one will be hoping the same doesn’t happen again this week. But, it might just happen as I Didn’t Do It is second elect at $5.00, and the duo have drawn favourably in barriers 2 and 3 (assuming the emergencies come out). While those two take up most of the betting market, it is far from a two horse race as The Fiery Ginga ($9.00), Sundons Gift ($9.00) and Stylish Monarch ($13.00) all have admires to spring an upset.

The A.G. Hunter Cup is a stand start run under handicap conditions, and both of those reasons ensure that we have a terrific betting race. NZ champ Auckland Reactor resumed from a lengthy spell to win at Ballarat last week, and has been installed as $2.90 favourite with Tattsbet despite the 10 metre handicap. The Tattsbet harness bookmakers are keen to take the Kiwi on as he will have to use up plenty of petrol at some stage of the race to get past the entire field, and that may be too big of an ask second up. Plenty of punters agree with that theory as there has been good early support for Highview Tommy (shock 100/1 winner of the Ballarat Cup), Let’s Slash An Burn ($9.00) and Villagem at $16.00

GREYHOUNDS

Tattsbet fixed odds will be available on four Group races on Friday and Saturday night.

The Gardens (NSW) host the National Derby and the National Futurity on Friday night, and these will be available as soon as scratching’s are notified on Friday morning. Zara Zulu has drawn badly (box 5) in the Futurity, but may well have the pace to overcome that, while Mcelle looks the one to beat in the Derby after an impressive all the way win in his semi final last week.

On Saturday night, Tattsbet will be covering the two big races from Perth, the Galaxy and the Perth Cup. Miata will be the raging favourite to win the Galaxy for stayers, and on times it is hard to see her being beaten. She has the distinction of holding all three records at the Cannington track, and will add to that when she comes east. Queensland has a representative in the Perth Cup final, and there is a strong chance that the trophy will be heading to the Sunshine State. Glen Gallon broke the 30 second barrier in his heat, and although he has to contend with Box 4 in the final, there is not a lot of pace around him.

NOTABLE BETS

$20,000 at $1.82 Manchester City to beat Everton in English Premier League
$15,000 at $1.62 Inter to beat Lecce in Italian Serie A
$10,000 at $1.72 Novak Djokovic to beat Rafael Nadal in Australian Open Final
$10,000 at $1.53 Australia to beat India in 2nd T20 International (Friday night)
$9,000 at $1.60 St Kilda to make AFL Final Eight

MULTI WINS

$20 at 693/1 to win $13,882 10-leg Soccer Multi (Spanish La Liga, French League 1, English League 1, English League 2, English League Championship matches, all priced between $1.70 and $2.37)