TattsBet News 26th January

CRICKET

The aptly named Perth Scorchers are the easing favourites to win Saturday night’s Big Bash Final against the Sydney Sixers. The match has already been put back 30 minutes as Perth faces a ‘scorcher’ on Saturday, tipped to be 42 degrees. The Scorchers have been the form side of the competition, and in their six wins, the batting and bowling stats line up favourable against the Sydney side. But……the competition has been dominated by the sides batting first, and more than half of the matches have been won by the outsiders. Once it was confirmed that speedster Mitchell Starc would be included in the side, the Sixers firmed from $2.15 into $2.08, which saw Perth drift from $1.70 out to $1.75. The toss will be vital, and if the Sixers bat first, there is a strong chance that they may even start favourites…and win.

BASKETBALL

There was talk late last week that Patrick Mills might join the roster at the Gold Coast Blaze, but now it appears as though that won’t happen and the Blaze have eased out to $7.50. Perth Wildcats have been the form side of the competition and they are now $2.10 favourites ahead of New Zealand at $2.75. The Breakers are the side that punters have not been keen to back, whereas we continue to see money for Perth and Townsville.

In the NBA, it has been all one sided action as most seem to think Miami will atone for a disappointing season last year. The Heat are now into $2.60 after opening pre-season at $3.25. The Chicago Bulls ($6.00) and Oklahoma City Thunder ($7.00) are the only other sides given any consideration at all by punters.

RUGBY LEAGUE

Plenty has been said on how open the 2012 NRL title is with $9.00 the field given, but in the past week there has been a good push for the Brisbane Broncos. The Broncos are on that $9.00 line of betting along with four other sides, but it appears as though devout Broncos fans appear all will be good without Darren Lockyer as they have attracted the most bets of any of the others in the betting. The two biggest bets to date have only been $2500 and $2000, but it is the constant stream of smaller bets (all from Queensland) that show punters have complete faith in the squad.

Tattsbet has also opened up a market to win the 2012 Queensland Cup. While it isn’t as open as the NRL, the equal favourites, Wynnum Manly and Tweed Heads are the equal favourites at $4.50. It is worth noting that this year it will be a final 5 as opposed to a final 6 last year, and ironically it was Wynnum Manly who won last year from that position. Tweed Heads were one of the surprise packets last year for two reasons. They didn’t lose a game until round 22, then went on to struggle in the finals series, ultimately losing the final to Wynnum. This particular competition is gaining in popularity each year due to the amount of NRL players involved, and betting will be available on all matches throughout the season.

TENNIS

Tattsbet are already experiencing massive interest ahead of tonight’s blockbuster Australian Open semi-final between Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal. While the number of bets are split down the middle, the big money has so far come for Federer at as a $1.60 favourite (from $1.62). Nadal ($2.40 from $2.30) has a great record against his rival on outdoor hardcourts so we expect late support for the Spaniard. Tattsbet will trade the match LIVE in the run.

While tournament favourite Novak Djokovic beat David Ferrer in straight sets in last night’s quarter final, his apparent physical issues early in that match has seen his title price drift from $1.90 to $2.25. He plays Scot Andy Murray in a replay of last year’s final on Friday night. We think Djokovic can put in a repeat performance int he semi and has been accordingly priced up as a $1.42 favourite with Murray at $2.80.

RACING

Whilst there is a host of racing coming up over the next few days (and nights), it is the return of Black Caviar at Moonee Valley on Friday night that is capturing all of the headlines. The unbeaten mare has been priced up at $1.03 by the Tattsbet race bookies, and that is the shortest priced favourite that we have ever seen in Australia since the inception of pre-post betting. We have noticed that Black Caviar features prominently in most of the cross code (horse racing/sports) multis for the weekend, with punters taking the view that adding Black Caviar is a free hit. It has also been surprising to not the huge number of bets around the $5 for Black Caviar. While the winnings (15 cents) isn’t going to be life changing for those punters, it would seem that they just want to be able to say that they had a bet on the greatest sprinter we have ever seen.

SIGNIFICANT BETS

$7,000 at $1.22 Nadal to bt Berdych Australian Open Men’s QF
$4,100 at $2.15 Nadal 3-0 v Berdych Australian Open Men’s QF

$5,000 at $4.50 Roger Federer winning Men’s Australian Open

$5,000 at $1.63 Kvitova to bt Sharapova Australian Open Women’s SF

$5,000 at $1.73 Clijsters to bt Azarenka Australian Open Women’s SF
$5,000 at $1.28 Azarenka to bt Clijsters Australian Open Women’s SF
$5,000 at $1.30 Azarenka to bt Clijsters Australian Open Women’s SF

$5,000 at $1.63 Australia winning Fourth Test v India
$5,000 at $1.14 Australia winning Fourth Test v India

$1000 at $13 Lee Westwood winning Abu Dhabi Golf Championship

MULTI WINS

$250 at $69.26 to win $17,316 - Saturday Racing Multi (MR02 Total Attraction at $3.33, BR03 Mr Light Blue at $2.60, MR05 Flyingconi at $3.20, BR06 Tomboy at $2.50)

$7 at $1386 to win $9,708 – Sports Multi (Man City by 1 goal v Tottenham at $3.80, Sydney FC by 1 goal v Gold Coast at $3.80, Berdych v Almagro over 37.5 at $1.95, Kohlschreiber v Del Potro under 36.5 at $1.87, Tomic v Federer 9-10 games 1st set at $2.00, Adelaide v Cairns NBL over 155.5 at $1.90, Oregon v USC over 126.5 NCAA at $1.90, Idaho -2 v Utah State NCAA at $1.90, Under 5 LA v Colorado NHL at $1.92.)