TattsBet News 19th January

CRICKET

The fourth and final test between Australia and India gets under way in Adelaide next Tuesday, and while India deserve to be $5.00 underdogs, there are plenty out there who think they can restore some pride with a win. India opened at $5.25, but a series of bets has seen that price cut to $5.00 while Australia has drifted slightly in the betting from $1.67 to $1.70. The draw ($3.50) has some admirers, probably because historically the Adelaide pitch has been friendly to batsmen.

The Big Bash League is fast coming to an end, and with finals spots yet to be sorted, there is a staggering amount of interest in all games. Shane Warne has done more than his fair share of work off the field to ensure the success of the BBL, and his Melbourne Stars side go into Thursday night’s crucial clash with Adelaide as warm $1.67 favourites. It has been noticeable how many punters have been taking advantage of the fresh betting after the toss has been done, and looking at the stats it isn’t hard to work out why. The side batting first has won 66% of the games, and that is in keeping with most twenty/20 matches around the world. Surprisingly a lot of captains have chosen to field first instead of batting, but the records suggest that if you stick with the side batting, the odds are in your favour.

TENNIS – AUSTRALIAN OPEN

The Australian Open is well underway and after three days, honours between Tattsbet and the punters are fairly even. Plenty of favourites have been saluting but Sam Stosur’s exit has provided the biggest upset, going down to Sorana Cirstea ($5.75). Tattsbet wrote one bet of $5,000 on Stosur at $1.15 and she was anchored through many a multi. Petra Kvitova remains at $3.75 to win the women’s title, just retaining favouritism ahead of Serena Williams at $4.25.

Novak Djokovic is the firming $2.15 title favourite on the men’s side, but one Tattsbet client yesterday bet $5,000 at $4.50 on Roger Federer winning. The Swiss maestro remains unchanged at that quote and faces a potential fourth round match-up with Australia’s new darling of tennis Bernard Tomic. But before that, Tomic has to get passed Ukrainian Alexandr Dolgopolov in Friday’s third round encounter. Tomic will go in as a $1.65 favourite but all the early support has been for Dolgopolov at $2.20. Both players possess similar styles of play and are not afraid to mix it up so an entertaining match is on the cards.

Tattsbet are betting LIVE on the outright markets and selected matches through the Australian Open.

AUSSIE RULES

Tattsbet have opened Round 1 of the AFL, and the first match will see the shortest round one favourite in history. The Swans are $1.01 to dispense of their cross town rivals, GWS. The debutantes are $15.00 to create history, and the proposed line option is creating a major talking point amongst our bookies. Whatever they settle on, it will be a very high number.

We are tipping Fremantle to improve sharply this year under new coach Ross Lyon, and we will all know exactly where they are at when they host Geelong. The Cats are $1.72, and have attracted a few small bets at that quote, but they are one of the best back sides to win back to back premierships. Geelong are $5.00 second elects behind Collingwood ($4.00), with Hawthorn ($5.50) and Carlton ($8.00) next in line. Carlton are another side who punters think will be hard to beat, with a couple of early four figure bets on the Blues. GWS are easily the worst result for Tattsbet, with several punters thinking the $251.00 on offer is attractive. It may be nice odds, but looking at their list and their draw, it would require a Stephen Bradbury like performance to worry the main contenders.

RUGBY LEAGUE

Round 1 of the NRL is also open, and premiership favourites the Wests Tigers are the shortest priced favourite for the round. The Tigers are $1.45 to beat Cronulla ($2.75), with the line being set at 6.5 points. In a promoters dream, Newcastle take on the Dragons in the very first match of the new season, and the Knights have opened clear favourites at $1.58. The Dragons are $2.35, and early betting would suggest they may start even longer. We are all interested to see how the Broncos will go without Darren Lockyer, and they have a tricky match first up against Parramatta. The Tattsbet bookies cannot split the two, both quoted at $1.90.

As far as premiership betting is concerned, the 2012 opening market is the most open in history. The Tigers hold a slender hold on favouritism at $8.50 ahead of Brisbane, Manly, Melbourne, Newcastle and the Warriors, all at $9.00. To show how open the market is, the outsiders (Canberra, Cronulla, Gold Coast and Penrith) are listed at 26.00, and realistically there are plenty of reasons why each of these could take the major trophy. The Tigers are currently our worst result, with a bet of $5000 at $9.00 leading the way, while Brisbane and Melbourne have each had two bets of $2000 placed on them at $9.00. There has also been some action on the final 8 market, including bets of $5000 for Newcastle at $1.57 and $4000 for the Gold Coast Titans at $2.85.

ACADEMY AWARDS

The Golden Globe Awards have been handed out for this year, and that has seen several major changes in the betting to win the Academy Awards.

George Clooney (Descendants) was $1.90 prior to wining a Golden Globe, but is now $1.45 to win the Best Actor Oscar. The critics, (and the public) love Clooney, and should he win the upcoming BAFTA and/or SAGA best actor category, then that price will firm drastically. Jean Dujardin (The Artist) is clear second pick at $2.75, ahead of Leonardo DiCaprio (J.Edgar) at $8.00 and Brad Pitt (Moneyball) at $13.00.

Betting on the Best Actress Award has taken a similar path to the male version with Meryl Streep now as short as $1.50 after winning a Golden Globe. Streep, who has gained accolades for her portrayal of Margaret Thatcher in The Iron Lady was $1.90 prior to Monday’s ceremony, and she remains as the best backed in any of the categories covered. Michelle Williams (Marilyn)and Viola Davis (The Help)are next in line at $3.25 and $4.00 respectively, but punters haven’t really warmed to either yet.

HITS AND MISSES

HITS

$5,000 at $1.28 (live) Brisbane Heat to beat Melbourne Renegades in Big Bash

MISSES

$4,000 at $1.25 (live) Sydney FC to beat Perth Glory in A-League
$4,800 at $1.50 New Orleans to beat San Francisco in NFL Playoffs

MULTI WINS

$1,600 at $33.60 to win $53,760 (2-leg racing multi: 14/1 QR01 Number One Gun at $7.00, QR 09 Capital Commander at $4.80)

$4 at $1470 to win $5882 (6-leg racing multi (all Sydney races): 14/1 SR01 De Shamekh at $1.80, SR03 Chivvy at $3.70, SR04 Upbeat at $5.00, SR05 Alma’s Fury at $3.20, SR06 Key West at $6.00, SR08 Maules Creek at $2.30)